Articles | Volume 15, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024
Research article
 | 
28 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 28 Nov 2024

Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state

Mark S. Williamson and Timothy M. Lenton

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Dynamic evolution of eigenmodes of J Mark Williamson https://doi.org/10.5446/63009

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Short summary
Climate models have transitioned to a superrotating atmospheric state under a broad range of warm climates. Such a transition would change global weather patterns should it occur. Here we simulate this transition using an idealized climate model and look for any early warnings of the superrotating state before it happens. We find several early warning indicators that we attribute to an oscillating pattern in the windfield fluctuations.
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