Articles | Volume 14, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1211-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Land cover and management effects on ecosystem resistance to drought stress
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- Final revised paper (published on 27 Nov 2023)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 28 Mar 2023)
Interactive discussion
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Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-304', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 May 2023
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Chenwei Xiao, 30 Jun 2023
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-304', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 May 2023
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Chenwei Xiao, 30 Jun 2023
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (03 Jul 2023) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Chenwei Xiao on behalf of the Authors (14 Aug 2023)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Aug 2023) by Gabriele Messori
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (31 Aug 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Sep 2023)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (01 Sep 2023) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Chenwei Xiao on behalf of the Authors (30 Sep 2023)
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ED: Publish as is (05 Oct 2023) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Chenwei Xiao on behalf of the Authors (12 Oct 2023)
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This study examines vegetation sensitivity to droughts and heat on a global scale using several satellite-derived proxies of vegetation conditions, including L-VOD, EVI, and kNDVI. To estimate vegetation sensitivity, the authors propose an autoregressive model that incorporates annual drought frequency, annual thermal condition, and the previous year's vegetation states. By comparing the sensitivities to drought and heat across different land cover types, including primary and secondary forests, the authors identify distinct differences in vegetation sensitivities, which they term ecosystem resistance. The study highlights the role of forest cover and land management in shaping the ecosystem resistance to droughts and suggests the advantages of using L-VOD in monitoring vegetation dynamics for dense forests. The research addresses relevant scientific questions within the scope of ESD and provides a novel perspective that considers land cover differences, particularly with respect to the effects of land management practices such as forest management and irrigation. The scientific methods and assumptions are clearly outlined, and the results are well-presented.
One main concern about this study is the ambitious claim of "management modulation" of ecosystem resistance, which may not be straightforward to conclude. The results are based on linear autoregression models, and the management effects are derived from comparing primary and secondary forests that span multiple climate zones. It is possible that the differences observed between primary and secondary forests (e.g., Fig. 5a) are due to climate differences rather than forest management. For example, NEU and EEU, which are both dominated by secondary forests (Fig. 1; Fig. 3a), have contrasting alpha values (Fig. 3b) and different Köppen climate classifications. To better isolate the primary-secondary forest differences and see the effects of forest management, it would be helpful to exclude variations related to other drivers or to group Fig. 1 based on climate zones. Otherwise, the current conclusion that "primary forests, typically associated with higher biodiversity, tend to show stronger resistance to droughts than secondary forests" could be misleading, as the differences may simply be related to ecosystem types shaped by climate rather than forest management.
The current title of the study seems ambitious when using the word "modulation." It may be more appropriate to use a different word, such as "differences," to accurately reflect the findings of the study. The word "modulation" suggests a strong causal relationship, but what we see here are simply differences between primary and secondary forests.
Comments on the analytical methods:
I have several questions regarding the linear autoregressive model used in this study. First, how is it ensured that the droughts used in the first term occur within or before the growing season and affect vegetation growth? Second, is there a justification for using yearly mean temperature instead of yearly maximum temperature in the second term? It would be helpful to either provide relevant references or explain the advantages of using annual mean temperature (e.g., smaller prediction errors compared to using yearly maximum). Third, the third term in the model is incorporated to consider vegetation memory effects, but the study does not present any results related to this coefficient. It would be helpful to briefly mention any relevant findings even if they are not significant. Additionally, it's worth questioning the inclusion of this term in the model if it does not contribute to reducing the overall prediction error. Fourth, for better readability, it would be helpful to mention the "c" term in section 2.4 of the study.
One concern I have is about the explanatory power of each regression over each grid point, given that only 10 values are available for the regression. This could touch a pragmatic lower bound for sample size, and it is therefore important to ensure that the derived coefficients are significant and that their spatial patterns are indicated. For example, in Fig. 2, it would be helpful to show the significance of the derived coefficients along with their spatial patterns. This would allow readers to better assess the reliability of the results and understand the degree of confidence that can be placed in the findings.
Ln 150: Are the land cover classification considering temporal changes? For example, land cover A for year 1 but becomes land cover B for year 2, what would be the eventual land cover for analysis?
Ln 188: It is not clear how the anomalies were standardized.
Other comments:
Ln 26: Up on the improved analysis of primary-secondary forest differences in alpha, this sentence “L-VOD indicates that primary forests tend to be more resistant to drought events than secondary forests” may need to be rephrased.
Ln 27: “EVI and kNDVI saturation in dense forests.”, do you mean for the biomass estimates? Note that EVI is designed to be less susceptible to saturation over dense forest areas (Huete et al., 2002: 10.1016/S0034-4257(02)00096-2).
Ln 39: any reference for the concept “ecosystem resistance”?
Ln 40: Studies related to vegetation recovery and legacy effects have been increasing recently, more latest references are needed for supporting the sentence “recovery trajectory following the disturbance”.
Ln 41: “The mitigation of climate extreme events and maintenance of land carbon sink are highly dependent on the resistance of ecosystems and their changes under land use and land cover change.”: Looks a bit abrupt to come to this sentence, some transition may be needed. Also, please provide references for this sentence.
Ln 55-56: “Taller tropical forests … because …. ”: note that the influence of tree height on the response of tropical forests to drought and subsequent non-drought growth remains controversial. The deep roots of the tropical forest may also play a critical role, check the studies Brando, 2018: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0147-z and Giardina et al., 2018: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0133-5.
Ln 58: “kNDVI is better correlated …”, compared to which indices?
Ln 63: DVGMs or DGVMs?
Ln: 64-66: “DVGMs and upscaled FLUXCOM GPP have suggested that GPP anomalies are less negative or even positive for pixels including …”: less negative than what? The entire sentence is a bit difficult to understand, good to rephrase it or divide it into several short sentences.
Ln 66: “However, ecosystem fluxes are not directly observable at the ecosystem scale.” the definition of an ecosystem is quite broad and may be good to indicate what the ecosystem scale is referring to here.
Ln 72-74: “For example, modifying forest density and structure by high-intensity overstory removal was tested in conifer-broadleaf mixed forests in Central Europe and considerably increased their growth resilience to droughts and decreased drought-induced mortality by two-thirds (Zamora-Pereira et al., 2021).”: It could be helpful to indicate the findings mentioned here are based on a stand-alone forest gap model.
Ln 101: “VOD has been used 100 as a proxy for biomass”, I guess you meant “aboveground” biomass.
Ln 162: Table 3 can not be found.
Ln 180: Figure 1, what does the white area represent?
Ln 228-229: “L-VOD is positive in Amazon, central Africa and Southeast Asia regions”, difficult to see central Africa and Southeast Asia are positive, are they significant?
Ln 236: clearer compared to what? I can see clearer patterns than those from alpha, but for beta, L-VOD is not as clear as EVI or kNDVI.
Ln 247: Figure 2, double check the unit of temperature coefficients, if it is needed for x axis for (i) and (p)?
Ln 264: what does the black text in Fig. 3a represent, no regression is applied, or zero coefficients?