Articles | Volume 14, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Assessing sensitivities of climate model weighting to multiple methods, variables, and domains in the south-central United States
South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, University of
Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73019, USA
Elias C. Massoud
Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National
Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37830, USA
Duane E. Waliser
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology,
Pasadena, CA 91109, USA
Huikyo Lee
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology,
Pasadena, CA 91109, USA
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- Future Changes in Hydro-Climatic Extremes across Vietnam: Evidence from a Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model Forced by Downscaled CMIP6 Climate Data H. Do et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16050674
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Projection of surface air temperature and precipitation in High Mountain Asia and its major upstream river basins through multi-model ensemble from CMIP6 S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-025-9969-5
- Downscaling and bias-correction contribute considerable uncertainty to local climate projections in CMIP6 D. Lafferty & R. Sriver https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00486-0
- Quantifying Impact of Geographical Variables on Climate Change Patterns over Spain by Time Series Clustering A. Palacios-Gutiérrez et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-025-00568-4
- Inter-rater reliability adaptive weighting (IRRAWE) - a novel ensemble scheme for improved precipitation projections using CMIP6 climate models R. Khalil & Z. Ali https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05947-5
- Projected changes in daily and multi-day extreme rainfall across the U.S. using downscaled CMIP6 models* G. Perez et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae4f14
- Emergent constraints reveal underprediction of future global water availability under anthropogenic forcing S. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.105252
- Hosting downscaled decision-relevant community data products in ESGF2-US E. Massoud et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae27ea
- Optimizing the multi-model ensemble of CMIP6 GCMs for climate simulation over Bangladesh A. Talukder et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96446-0
- Future meteorological drought in Ethiopia using better performed ensemble Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CIMP6) climate models Z. Kebede & G. Wedajo https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nhres.2025.08.006
- Development of DRIP - drought representation index for CMIP climate model performance, application to Southeast Brazil L. Almeida et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176443
- Future droughts in the Paraíba do Sul River Basin, Brazil: climate model selection based on performance and multi-model projections L. Almeida et al. https://doi.org/10.1590/2318-0331.312620250175
- Evaluating statistical and machine learning bias-correction methods for CMIP6 rainfall projections in a tropical megacity N. Miniandi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06223-w
- Bayesian weighting of climate models based on climate sensitivity E. Massoud et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01009-8
- Optimizing GCM ensemble selection and weighted MME development for improved drought projection under global climate models simulations M. Shakeel et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-026-08082-0
- Future Changes in Hydro-Climatic Extremes across Vietnam: Evidence from a Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model Forced by Downscaled CMIP6 Climate Data H. Do et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16050674
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 16 Sep 2026
Short summary
Climate projections and multi-model ensemble weighting are increasingly used for climate assessments. This study examines the sensitivity of projections to multi-model ensemble weighting strategies in the south-central United States. Model weighting and ensemble means are sensitive to the domain and variable used. There are numerous findings regarding the improvement in skill with model weighting and the sensitivity associated with various strategies.
Climate projections and multi-model ensemble weighting are increasingly used for climate...
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