Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UK
Julienne Stroeve
Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UK
Centre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
National Snow and Ice Data Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA
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This work links two very actual scientific topics, which are also highly relevant for public understanding of climate change. First, timelines to crossing the Paris Agreement thresholds under future emissions scenarios; second, the rapid warming and profound changes under way in the Arctic region.
This work links two very actual scientific topics, which are also highly relevant for public...
The Arctic is warming several times faster than the rest of the planet. Here, we use climate model projections to quantify for the first time how this faster warming in the Arctic impacts the timing of crossing the 1.5 °C and 2 °C thresholds defined in the Paris Agreement. We show that under plausible emissions scenarios that fail to meet the Paris 1.5 °C target, a hypothetical world without faster warming in the Arctic would breach that 1.5 °C target around 5 years later.
The Arctic is warming several times faster than the rest of the planet. Here, we use climate...
