Articles | Volume 14, issue 5
 | Highlight paper
04 Oct 2023
Review | Highlight paper |  | 04 Oct 2023

Advancing the estimation of future climate impacts within the United States

Corinne Hartin, Erin E. McDuffie, Karen Noiva, Marcus Sarofim, Bryan Parthum, Jeremy Martinich, Sarah Barr, Jim Neumann, Jacqueline Willwerth, and Allen Fawcett

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Cited articles

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Barron, A. R.: Time to refine key climate policy models, Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 350–352,, 2018. 
Carleton, T. and Greenstone, M.: A Guide to Updating the US Government's Social Cost of Carbon, Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy, 16, 196–218,, 2022. 
Carleton, T., Jina, A., Delgado, M., Greenstone, M., Houser, T., Hsiang, S., Hultgren, A., Kopp, R. E., McCusker, K. E., Nath, I., Rising, J., Rode, A., Seo, H. K., Viaene, A., Yuan, J., and Zhang, A. T.: Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits, Q. J. Econ., 137, 2037–2105,, 2022. 
Council of Economic Advisers (CEA): Discounting for public policy: Theory and recent evidence on the merits of updating the discount rate, Issue brief, Washington, DC: Executive Office of the President, 2017. 
Chief editor
This study assesses climate impacts on the economy and society of the USA, using a model that can downscale impacts to regional scale. The findings are thus both scientifically and policy-relevant.
Short summary
This study utilizes a reduced-complexity model, Framework for Evaluating Damages and Impacts (FrEDI), to assess the impacts from climate change in the United States across 10 000 future probabilistic emission and socioeconomic projections. Climate-driven damages are largest for the health category, with the majority of damages in this category coming from the valuation estimates of premature mortality attributable to climate-driven changes in extreme temperature and air quality scenarios.
Final-revised paper