Articles | Volume 14, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Global and northern-high-latitude net ecosystem production in the 21st century from CMIP6 experiments
Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of
Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA
now at: Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Pacific
Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA
Dalei Hao
Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Pacific Northwest
National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA
Yelu Zeng
Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of
Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA
Xuesong Zhang
USDA-ARS Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Beltsville, MD
20705-2350, USA
Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of
Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA
Viewed
Total article views: 6,180 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 07 Jun 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,565 | 1,382 | 233 | 6,180 | 534 | 237 | 314 |
- HTML: 4,565
- PDF: 1,382
- XML: 233
- Total: 6,180
- Supplement: 534
- BibTeX: 237
- EndNote: 314
Total article views: 4,628 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 09 Jan 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,688 | 768 | 172 | 4,628 | 296 | 181 | 188 |
- HTML: 3,688
- PDF: 768
- XML: 172
- Total: 4,628
- Supplement: 296
- BibTeX: 181
- EndNote: 188
Total article views: 1,552 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 07 Jun 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 877 | 614 | 61 | 1,552 | 238 | 56 | 126 |
- HTML: 877
- PDF: 614
- XML: 61
- Total: 1,552
- Supplement: 238
- BibTeX: 56
- EndNote: 126
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 6,180 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,020 with geography defined
and 160 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 4,628 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,563 with geography defined
and 65 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,552 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,457 with geography defined
and 95 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The threshold response of net ecosystem productivity to vapor pressure deficit changes is significantly lower in global karst regions than the global average Y. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115143
- High-resolution projections of carbon neutrality in China: implications for low-carbon territorial space utilization M. Cui et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115262
- Land use change affects net ecosystem production in the Eastern Indian Himalayan region B. Kurmi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2025.100670
- Optimizing winter wheat varieties for yield and net ecosystem productivity under climate change in the North China Plain J. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127675
- Integrating Debt Dynamics and Planetary Boundaries Through a Catastrophe Theory Model of Financial Ecological Collapse A. Sharma https://doi.org/10.2478/wsbjbf-2025-0006
- Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 °C global warming R. Varney et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-913-2026
- CMIP7 data request: Earth system priorities and opportunities M. McPartland et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-2849-2026
- Impacts of extreme climate change on terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage in China J. Jin et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.180890
- Assessing the Carbon Budget Dynamics of Terrestrial Ecosystems in the Amur River Basin M. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3623724
- Performance evaluation of bias correction methods for CMIP6 precipitation datasets in the drylands of the Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia A. Chinasho https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2025-0178
- Contrasting Effects of Hydrothermal Drivers on Gross Primary Productivity and Ecosystem Respiration W. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020205
- Natural Vegetation Succession Under Climate Change and the Combined Effects on Net Primary Productivity S. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003903
- Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data G. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025
- Projected decline in the strength of vegetation carbon sequestration under climate change in India V. Bejagam et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170166
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The threshold response of net ecosystem productivity to vapor pressure deficit changes is significantly lower in global karst regions than the global average Y. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115143
- High-resolution projections of carbon neutrality in China: implications for low-carbon territorial space utilization M. Cui et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115262
- Land use change affects net ecosystem production in the Eastern Indian Himalayan region B. Kurmi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2025.100670
- Optimizing winter wheat varieties for yield and net ecosystem productivity under climate change in the North China Plain J. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127675
- Integrating Debt Dynamics and Planetary Boundaries Through a Catastrophe Theory Model of Financial Ecological Collapse A. Sharma https://doi.org/10.2478/wsbjbf-2025-0006
- Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 °C global warming R. Varney et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-913-2026
- CMIP7 data request: Earth system priorities and opportunities M. McPartland et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-2849-2026
- Impacts of extreme climate change on terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage in China J. Jin et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.180890
- Assessing the Carbon Budget Dynamics of Terrestrial Ecosystems in the Amur River Basin M. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3623724
- Performance evaluation of bias correction methods for CMIP6 precipitation datasets in the drylands of the Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia A. Chinasho https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2025-0178
- Contrasting Effects of Hydrothermal Drivers on Gross Primary Productivity and Ecosystem Respiration W. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020205
- Natural Vegetation Succession Under Climate Change and the Combined Effects on Net Primary Productivity S. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003903
- Investigating carbon and nitrogen conservation in reported CMIP6 Earth system model data G. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2111-2025
- Projected decline in the strength of vegetation carbon sequestration under climate change in India V. Bejagam et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170166
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 13 Aug 2026
Short summary
The carbon cycling in terrestrial ecosystems is complex. In our analyses, we found that both the global and the northern-high-latitude (NHL) ecosystems will continue to have positive net ecosystem production (NEP) in the next few decades under four global change scenarios but with large uncertainties. NHL ecosystems will experience faster climate warming but steadily contribute a small fraction of the global NEP. However, the relative uncertainty of NHL NEP is much larger than the global values.
The carbon cycling in terrestrial ecosystems is complex. In our analyses, we found that both the...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint