Articles | Volume 13, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
02 Jun 2022
Research article |
| 02 Jun 2022
| 02 Jun 2022
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy
Miriam D'Errico
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Flavio Pons
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Pascal Yiou
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Soulivanh Tao
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Cesare Nardini
Service de Physique de l'État Condensé, CNRS UMR 3680, CEA-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Frank Lunkeit
Meteorological Institute, CEN, University of Hamburg, Bundesstrasse 55, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Davide Faranda
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
London Mathematical Laboratory, 8 Margravine Gardens, London, W6 8RH, UK
LMD/IPSL, Ecole Normale Superieure, PSL research University, Paris, France
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Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Harvesting Effect and Extreme Temperature-Related Mortality in Italy V. Kannankeril Joseph et al.
- Contrasting trends of extreme rainfall and snowfall in the Northern Hemisphere Y. Li et al.
- Air Temperature Extremes in the Mediterranean Region (1940–2024): Synoptic Patterns and Trends G. Kotsias & C. Lolis
- The impact of circulation types and their changing thermal properties on the probability of days with snowfall and rainfall in Poland, 1966–2020 E. Łupikasza et al.
- Ecophysiological and biochemical responses to cold and heat waves of native Spartina maritima, alien S. densiflora and their reciprocal hybrids R. Álvarez et al.
- Three-Century Climatology of Cold and Warm Spells and Snowfall Events in Padua, Italy (1725–2024) C. Stefanini et al.
- Historical snow measurements in the central and southern Apennine Mountains: climatology, variability, and trend V. Capozzi et al.
- Temporal trends in temperature-related mortality and evidence for maladaptation to heat and cold in the Eastern Mediterranean region K. Psistaki et al.
- Remarkable similarities in distributions of dynamical observables in chaotic systems L. Defaveri & N. Smith
- A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021 D. Faranda et al.
- Cold snaps lead to a 5-fold increase or a 3-fold decrease in disease proliferation depending on the baseline temperature N. McCartan et al.
- Cold Waves in a Changing Climate: Characteristics, Trends, and Large‐Scale Drivers in Northern Europe and the Alps M. Krouma et al.
- The Cold Snaps of January 2022 in the Euro-Mediterranean Region in a Warming Climate: In Association with Atmospheric Blocking and the Positive North Atlantic Oscillation M. Demirtaş
- Future winter snowfall and extreme snow events in the Pyrenees J. Bonsoms et al.
- Large deviations in chaotic systems: Exact results and dynamical phase transition N. Smith
- Postoperative Risk and Climate Exposure: A Retrospective Study of Incisional Glaucoma Surgery Outcomes T. Chen et al.
- Data-driven analysis of annual rain distributions Y. Ashkenazy & N. Smith
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Harvesting Effect and Extreme Temperature-Related Mortality in Italy V. Kannankeril Joseph et al.
- Contrasting trends of extreme rainfall and snowfall in the Northern Hemisphere Y. Li et al.
- Air Temperature Extremes in the Mediterranean Region (1940–2024): Synoptic Patterns and Trends G. Kotsias & C. Lolis
- The impact of circulation types and their changing thermal properties on the probability of days with snowfall and rainfall in Poland, 1966–2020 E. Łupikasza et al.
- Ecophysiological and biochemical responses to cold and heat waves of native Spartina maritima, alien S. densiflora and their reciprocal hybrids R. Álvarez et al.
- Three-Century Climatology of Cold and Warm Spells and Snowfall Events in Padua, Italy (1725–2024) C. Stefanini et al.
- Historical snow measurements in the central and southern Apennine Mountains: climatology, variability, and trend V. Capozzi et al.
- Temporal trends in temperature-related mortality and evidence for maladaptation to heat and cold in the Eastern Mediterranean region K. Psistaki et al.
- Remarkable similarities in distributions of dynamical observables in chaotic systems L. Defaveri & N. Smith
- A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021 D. Faranda et al.
- Cold snaps lead to a 5-fold increase or a 3-fold decrease in disease proliferation depending on the baseline temperature N. McCartan et al.
- Cold Waves in a Changing Climate: Characteristics, Trends, and Large‐Scale Drivers in Northern Europe and the Alps M. Krouma et al.
- The Cold Snaps of January 2022 in the Euro-Mediterranean Region in a Warming Climate: In Association with Atmospheric Blocking and the Positive North Atlantic Oscillation M. Demirtaş
- Future winter snowfall and extreme snow events in the Pyrenees J. Bonsoms et al.
- Large deviations in chaotic systems: Exact results and dynamical phase transition N. Smith
- Postoperative Risk and Climate Exposure: A Retrospective Study of Incisional Glaucoma Surgery Outcomes T. Chen et al.
- Data-driven analysis of annual rain distributions Y. Ashkenazy & N. Smith
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 May 2026
Short summary
Climate change is already affecting weather extremes. In a warming climate, we will expect the cold spells to decrease in frequency and intensity. Our analysis shows that the frequency of circulation patterns leading to snowy cold-spell events over Italy will not decrease under business-as-usual emission scenarios, although the associated events may not lead to cold conditions in the warmer scenarios.
Climate change is already affecting weather extremes. In a warming climate, we will expect the...
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