Articles | Volume 13, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy
Miriam D'Errico
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Flavio Pons
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Pascal Yiou
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Soulivanh Tao
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
Cesare Nardini
Service de Physique de l'État Condensé, CNRS UMR 3680, CEA-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Frank Lunkeit
Meteorological Institute, CEN, University of Hamburg, Bundesstrasse 55, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Davide Faranda
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, IPSL, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France
London Mathematical Laboratory, 8 Margravine Gardens, London, W6 8RH, UK
LMD/IPSL, Ecole Normale Superieure, PSL research University, Paris, France
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7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021 D. Faranda et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-1311-2022
- Cold snaps lead to a 5-fold increase or a 3-fold decrease in disease proliferation depending on the baseline temperature N. McCartan et al. 10.1186/s12915-024-02041-6
- The Cold Snaps of January 2022 in the Euro-Mediterranean Region in a Warming Climate: In Association with Atmospheric Blocking and the Positive North Atlantic Oscillation M. Demirtaş 10.1007/s00024-023-03297-9
- The impact of circulation types and their changing thermal properties on the probability of days with snowfall and rainfall in Poland, 1966–2020 E. Łupikasza et al. 10.14746/quageo-2024-0025
- Large deviations in chaotic systems: Exact results and dynamical phase transition N. Smith 10.1103/PhysRevE.106.L042202
- Temporal trends in temperature-related mortality and evidence for maladaptation to heat and cold in the Eastern Mediterranean region K. Psistaki et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173899
- Data-driven analysis of annual rain distributions Y. Ashkenazy & N. Smith 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.6.023187
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Modelling snowfall in southern Italy: a historical perspective in the Benevento Valley (1645-2018) N. Diodato et al. 10.3354/cr01681
- THE HEAVY SNOWFALL IN THE LVIV REGION . Семергей-Чумаченко А. Б. et al. 10.31435/rsglobal_ws/30122022/7908
- An attempt to explain recent changes in European snowfall extremes D. Faranda 10.5194/wcd-1-445-2020
- Elevation-dependent trends in extreme snowfall in the French Alps from 1959 to 2019 E. Le Roux et al. 10.5194/tc-15-4335-2021
- The anomalously cold January 2017 in the south‐eastern Europe in a warming climate M. Demirtaş 10.1002/joc.7574
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Climate change is already affecting weather extremes. In a warming climate, we will expect the cold spells to decrease in frequency and intensity. Our analysis shows that the frequency of circulation patterns leading to snowy cold-spell events over Italy will not decrease under business-as-usual emission scenarios, although the associated events may not lead to cold conditions in the warmer scenarios.
Climate change is already affecting weather extremes. In a warming climate, we will expect the...
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