Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-997-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-997-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Research article
 | 
21 Sep 2021
Research article |  | 21 Sep 2021

Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards

Pascal Yiou and Nicolas Viovy

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Short summary
This paper presents a model of tree ruin as a response to drought hazards. This model is inspired by a standard model of ruin in the insurance industry. We illustrate how ruin can occur in present-day conditions and the sensitivity of ruin and time to ruin to hazard statistical properties. We also show how tree strategies to cope with hazards can affect their long-term reserves and the probability of ruin.
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