Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 899–918, 2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 899–918, 2021

Review 23 Aug 2021

Review | 23 Aug 2021

The potential for structural errors in emergent constraints

Benjamin M. Sanderson et al.

Model code and software

benmsanderson/structure_ec: (1.1) Benjamin Sanderson

Short summary
Emergent constraints promise a pathway to the reduction in climate projection uncertainties by exploiting ensemble relationships between observable quantities and unknown climate response parameters. This study considers the robustness of these relationships in light of biases and common simplifications that may be present in the original ensemble of climate simulations. We propose a classification scheme for constraints and a number of practical case studies.
Final-revised paper