Articles | Volume 11, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 347–356, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-347-2020
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 347–356, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-347-2020

Research article 21 Apr 2020

Research article | 21 Apr 2020

Bayesian deconstruction of climate sensitivity estimates using simple models: implicit priors and the confusion of the inverse

James D. Annan and Julia C. Hargreaves

Viewed

Total article views: 2,293 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
1,890 374 29 2,293 34 29 35
  • HTML: 1,890
  • PDF: 374
  • XML: 29
  • Total: 2,293
  • Supplement: 34
  • BibTeX: 29
  • EndNote: 35
Views and downloads (calculated since 13 Jun 2019)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 13 Jun 2019)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,034 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,954 with geography defined and 80 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 20 Apr 2021
Download
Short summary
We explore the implicit assumptions that underlie many published probabilistic estimates of the equilibrium climate sensitivity – that is, the amount the climate will warm under a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration. We demonstrate that many such estimates have made assumptions that would be difficult to justify and show how the calculations can be repeated in a more defensible manner. Our results show some significant differences from previous calculations.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint