Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-501-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-501-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
Research article
 | 
21 Aug 2019
Research article |  | 21 Aug 2019

Investigating the applicability of emergent constraints

Alexander J. Winkler, Ranga B. Myneni, and Victor Brovkin

Viewed

Total article views: 5,311 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
3,897 1,295 119 5,311 166 185
  • HTML: 3,897
  • PDF: 1,295
  • XML: 119
  • Total: 5,311
  • BibTeX: 166
  • EndNote: 185
Views and downloads (calculated since 21 Nov 2018)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 21 Nov 2018)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 5,311 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,744 with geography defined and 567 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 18 Nov 2025
Download
Short summary
The concept of emergent constraints is a key method to reduce uncertainty in multi-model climate projections using historical simulations and observations. Here, we present an in-depth analysis of the applicability of the method and uncover possible limitations. Key limitations are a lack of comparability (temporal, spatial, and conceptual) between models and observations and the disagreement between models on system dynamics throughout different levels of atmospheric CO2 concentration.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint