Articles | Volume 10, issue 2
Research article
25 Apr 2019
Research article |  | 25 Apr 2019

Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018

Robert Vautard, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Pascal Yiou, Hylke de Vries, Erik van Meijgaard, Andrew Stepek, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah F. Kew, Cecilia Costella, Roop Singh, and Claudia Tebaldi


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (02 Feb 2019) by Christian Franzke
AR by robert vautard on behalf of the Authors (03 Feb 2019)  Author's response 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Mar 2019) by Christian Franzke
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (07 Mar 2019)
RR by Paolo De Luca (07 Mar 2019)
ED: Publish as is (08 Mar 2019) by Christian Franzke
AR by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (deceased) on behalf of the Authors (03 Apr 2019)  Manuscript 

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by robert vautard on behalf of the Authors (24 Apr 2019)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (24 Apr 2019) by Christian Franzke
Short summary
The effect of human activities on the probability of winter wind storms like the ones that occurred in Western Europe in January 2018 is analysed using multiple model ensembles. Despite a significant probability decline in observations, we find no significant change in probabilities due to human influence on climate so far. However, such extreme events are likely to be slightly more frequent in the future. The observed decrease in storminess is likely to be due to increasing roughness.
Final-revised paper