Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
18 Apr 2024
| Highlight paper
Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens
Vito Avakumović
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 387–404, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-387-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-387-2024, 2024
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18 Apr 2024
A first attempt to model global hydrology at hyper-resolution
Barry van Jaarsveld, Niko Wanders, Edwin H. Sutanudjaja, Jannis Hoch, Bram Droppers, Joren Janzing, Rens L. P. H. van Beek, and Marc F. P. Bierkens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1025,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1025, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Apr 2024
No critical slowing down in the Atlantic Overturning Circulation in historical CMIP6 simulations
Maya Ben-Yami, Lana Blaschke, Sebastian Bathiany, and Niklas Boers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1106,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1106, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Apr 2024
An overview of the E3SM version 2 large ensemble and comparison to other E3SM and CESM large ensembles
John T. Fasullo, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Julie M. Caron, Nan Rosenbloom, Gerald A. Meehl, Warren Strand, Sasha Glanville, Samantha Stevenson, Maria Molina, Christine A. Shields, Chengzhu Zhang, James Benedict, and Tony Bartoletti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 367–386, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-367-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-367-2024, 2024
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05 Apr 2024
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points
Laura M. Pereira, Ignacio Gianelli, Therezah Achieng, Diva Amon, Sally Archibald, Suchinta Arif, Azucena Castro, Tapiwa Prosper Chimbadzwa, Kaera Coetzer, Tracy-Lynn Field, Odirilwe Selomane, Nadia Sitas, Nicola Stevens, Sebastian Villasante, Mohammed Armani, Duncan M. Kimuyu, Ibukun J. Adewumi, David M. Lapola, David Obura, Patricia Pinho, Felipe Roa-Clavijo, Juan Rocha, and U. Rashid Sumaila
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 341–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-341-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-341-2024, 2024
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02 Apr 2024
Estimating freshwater flux amplification with ocean tracers via linear response theory
Aurora Basinski-Ferris and Laure Zanna
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 323–339, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-323-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-323-2024, 2024
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27 Mar 2024
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Solar radiation modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 307–322, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-307-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-307-2024, 2024
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22 Mar 2024
Diagnosing the causes of AMOC slowdown in a coupled model: a cautionary tale
Justin Gérard and Michel Crucifix
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 293–306, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-293-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-293-2024, 2024
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22 Mar 2024
Similar North Pacific variability despite suppressed El Niño variability in the warm mid-Pliocene climate
Arthur Merlijn Oldeman, Michiel L. J. Baatsen, Anna S. von der Heydt, Frank M. Selten, and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-766,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-766, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Mar 2024
Environmental drivers and remote sensing proxies of post-fire thaw depth in Eastern Siberian larch forests
Lucas Ribeiro Diaz, Clement J. F. Delcourt, Moritz Langer, Michael M. Loranty, Brendan M. Rogers, Rebecca C. Scholten, Tatiana A. Shestakova, Anna C. Talucci, Jorien E. Vonk, Sonam Wangchuk, and Sander Veraverbeke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-469,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-469, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Mar 2024
Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Arie Staal, Pim Meijer, Maganizo Kruger Nyasulu, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, and Stefan C. Dekker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-790,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-790, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 Mar 2024
Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle
Steven J. De Hertog, Carmen E. Lopez-Fabara, Ruud van der Ent, Jessica Keune, Diego G. Miralles, Raphael Portmann, Sebastian Schemm, Felix Havermann, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 265–291, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024, 2024
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18 Mar 2024
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Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods
Rosa Pietroiusti, Inne Vanderkelen, Friederike E. L. Otto, Clair Barnes, Lucy Temple, Mary Akurut, Philippe Bally, Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, and Wim Thiery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 225–264, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-225-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-225-2024, 2024
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15 Mar 2024
Sea-ice thermodynamics can determine waterbelt scenarios for Snowball Earth
Johannes Hörner and Aiko Voigt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 215–223, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-215-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-215-2024, 2024
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13 Mar 2024
| Highlight paper
Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection
Yan Zhang, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Ewa M. Bednarz, and Ben Kravitz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 191–213, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-191-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-191-2024, 2024
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12 Mar 2024
Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling
Yongchao Zeng, Calum Brown, Joanna Raymond, Mohamed Byari, Ronja Hotz, and Mark Rounsevell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-449,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-449, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 Mar 2024
Impact of groundwater representation on heat events in regional climate simulations over Europe
Liubov Poshyvailo-Strube, Niklas Wagner, Klaus Goergen, Carina Furusho-Percot, Carl Hartick, and Stefan Kollet
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 167–189, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-167-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-167-2024, 2024
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04 Mar 2024
Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming
Mikhail Verbitsky, Michael E. Mann, and Dmitry Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-10,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-10, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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28 Feb 2024
AERA-MIP: Emission pathways, remaining budgets and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 ºC and 2 ºC global warming stabilization
Yona Silvy, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A. Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernadello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R. Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin Dix, John Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y. Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A. Monteiro, David Paynter, Glen P. Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-488, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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27 Feb 2024
Cross-scale causal information flow from El Niño Southern Oscillation to precipitation in eastern China
Yasir Latif, Kaiyu Fan, Geli Wang, and Milan Palus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-400,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-400, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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22 Feb 2024
Towards robust community assessments of the Earth's climate sensitivity
Kate Marvel and Mark Webb
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-391,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-391, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Feb 2024
The Long Game to mitigate earth system tipping points
Avit Bhowmik, Mark S. McCaffrey, and Oliver Kunkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2588,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2588, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Feb 2024
Compensatory effects conceal large uncertainties in the modelled processes behind the ENSO-CO2 relationship
István Dunkl, Ana Bastos, and Tatiana Ilyina
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-7,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-7, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Feb 2024
Atmospheric teleconnections between the Arctic and the Baltic Sea region as simulated by CESM1-LE
Erko Jakobson and Liisi Jakobson
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 155–165, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-155-2024, 2024
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19 Feb 2024
Bayesian analysis of early warning signals using a time-dependent model
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Luc Hallali, and Martin Rypdal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-436,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-436, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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19 Feb 2024
Bringing it all together: Science and modelling priorities to support international climate policy
Colin Gareth Jones, Fanny Adloff, Ben Booth, Peter Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Katja Frieler, Helene Hewitt, Hazel Jeffery, Sylvie Joussaume, Torben Koenigk, Bryan N. Lawrence, Eleanor O'Rourke, Malcolm Roberts, Benjamin Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Samuel Somot, Pier-Luigi Vidale, Detlef van Vuuren, Mario Acosta, Mats Bentsen, Raffaele Bernardello, Richard Betts, Ed Blockley, Julien Boé, Tom Bracegirdle, Pascale Braconnot, Victor Brovkin, Carlo Buontempo, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Italo Epicoco, Pete Falloon, Sandro Fiore, Thomas Froelicher, Neven Fuckar, Matthew Gidden, Helge Goessling, Rune Grand Graversen, Silvio Gualdi, Jose Manuel Gutiérrez, Tatiana Ilyina, Daniela Jacob, Chris Jones, Martin Juckes, Elizabeth Kendon, Erik Kjellström, Reto Knutti, Jason A. Lowe, Matthew Mizielinski, Paola Nassisi, Michael Obersteiner, Pierre Regnier, Romain Roehrig, David Salas y Melia, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michael Schulz, Enrico Scoccimarro, Laurent Terray, Hannes Thiemann, Richard Wood, Shuting Yang, and Sönke Zaehle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-453,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-453, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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