Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Mar 2018
Research article |
| 28 Mar 2018
| 28 Mar 2018
Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
Dáithí Stone
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
Dann Mitchell
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Hideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan
Erich Fischer
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Lise S. Graff
Development Center for Weather Forecasting Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Viatcheslav V. Kharin
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Ludwig Lierhammer
German Climate Computing Center, Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, Hamburg, Germany
Benjamin Sanderson
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Harinarayan Krishnan
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
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- Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk S. Russo et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-08070-4
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- Deaths attributable to anomalous temperature: A generalizable metric for the health impact of global warming H. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107520
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- Differential Impacts of 1.5 and 2 °C Warming on Extreme Events Over China Using Statistically Downscaled and Bias‐Corrected CESM Low‐Warming Experiment Y. Yang et al. 10.1029/2018GL079272
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- Changes in event soil moisture-temperature coupling can intensify very extreme heat beyond expectations D. Maraun et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-56109-0
- Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming targets Y. Wei et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04860-8
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- Changes in extreme temperature over China when global warming stabilized at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C C. Sun et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-50036-z
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 01 Jul 2025
Short summary
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change challenged the scientific community to describe the impacts of stabilizing the global temperature at its 21st Conference of Parties. A specific target of 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels had not been seriously considered by the climate modeling community prior to the Paris Agreement. This paper analyzes heat waves in simulations designed for this target. We find there are reductions in extreme temperature compared to a 2 °C target.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change challenged the scientific community to...
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