Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1107–1125, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1107–1125, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018

Research article 30 Aug 2018

Research article | 30 Aug 2018

Varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks explain divergent temperature extremes and precipitation projections in central Europe

Martha M. Vogel et al.

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (27 Jul 2018) by Sagnik Dey
AR by Martha Marie Vogel on behalf of the Authors (30 Jul 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (12 Aug 2018) by Sagnik Dey
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Short summary
Climate change projections of temperature extremes are particularly uncertain in central Europe. We demonstrate that varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks in current climate models leads to an enhancement of model differences; thus, they can explain the large uncertainties in extreme temperature projections. Using an observation-based constraint, we show that the strong drying and large increase in temperatures exhibited by models on the hottest day in central Europe are highly unlikely.
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