Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks explain divergent temperature extremes and precipitation projections in central Europe
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Jakob Zscheischler
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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- Variation of Surface Air Temperature Induced by Enhanced Land–Atmosphere Coupling During 1981–2020 in Xinjiang, Northwest China Y. Yang et al. 10.1029/2022JD037983
- Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming X. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-37309-y
- Changes in daily temperature extremes relative to the mean in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models and observations M. Gross et al. 10.1002/joc.6138
- Drought-related hot summers: A joint probability analysis in the Iberian Peninsula A. Ribeiro et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100279
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- Summer evapotranspiration-cloud feedbacks in land-atmosphere interactions over Europe Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07475-w
- Soil Moisture Content from GNSS Reflectometry Using Dielectric Permittivity from Fresnel Reflection Coefficients A. Calabia et al. 10.3390/rs12010122
- Observation-constrained projections reveal longer-than-expected dry spells I. Petrova et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-07887-y
- Regional climate model projections underestimate future warming due to missing plant physiological CO2 response C. Schwingshackl et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4949
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
Climate change projections of temperature extremes are particularly uncertain in central Europe. We demonstrate that varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks in current climate models leads to an enhancement of model differences; thus, they can explain the large uncertainties in extreme temperature projections. Using an observation-based constraint, we show that the strong drying and large increase in temperatures exhibited by models on the hottest day in central Europe are highly unlikely.
Climate change projections of temperature extremes are particularly uncertain in central Europe....
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