Articles | Volume 8, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-707-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-707-2017
Research article
 | 
09 Aug 2017
Research article |  | 09 Aug 2017

On determining the point of no return in climate change

Brenda C. van Zalinge, Qing Yi Feng, Matthias Aengenheyster, and Henk A. Dijkstra

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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
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Short summary
The increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases (GHGs) is one of the main causes for the increase in global mean surface temperature. There is no good quantitative measure to determine when it is too late to start reducing GHGs in order to avoid dangerous anthropogenic interference. We develop a method for determining a so-called point of no return (PNR) for several GHG emission scenarios. The innovative element in this approach is the applicability to high-dimensional climate models.
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