Articles | Volume 8, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-177-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-177-2017
Research article
 | 
16 Mar 2017
Research article |  | 16 Mar 2017

Reconciling the signal and noise of atmospheric warming on decadal timescales

Roger N. Jones and James H. Ricketts

Viewed

Total article views: 6,878 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
3,830 2,847 201 6,878 443 141 161
  • HTML: 3,830
  • PDF: 2,847
  • XML: 201
  • Total: 6,878
  • Supplement: 443
  • BibTeX: 141
  • EndNote: 161
Views and downloads (calculated since 23 Aug 2016)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 23 Aug 2016)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 6,878 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 6,620 with geography defined and 258 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Saved (final revised paper)

Discussed (final revised paper)

Discussed (preprint)

Latest update: 29 Jun 2024
Download
Short summary
Climate over decadal timescales, forced by added greenhouse gases, could either change independently of internally generated variability or interact with it. For hypothesis 1, the atmosphere warms gradually, affected by random climate noise. For hypothesis 2, warming is nonlinear and step-like. Two statistical models, step and trend, are used to analyse observed and modelled temperatures; the results are subject to six tests. In conclusion, externally forced warming is step-like at these scales.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint