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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 8, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 1237–1246, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1237-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 1237–1246, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1237-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 20 Dec 2017

Research article | 20 Dec 2017

Synergy between land use and climate change increases future fire risk in Amazon forests

Yannick Le Page et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by Editor) (18 Oct 2017) by Michel Crucifix
AR by Yannick Le Page on behalf of the Authors (24 Oct 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (02 Nov 2017) by Michel Crucifix
AR by Yannick Le Page on behalf of the Authors (09 Nov 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
Fires damage large areas of eastern Amazon forests when ignitions from human activity coincide with droughts, while more humid central and western regions are less affected. Here, we use a fire model to estimate that fire activity could increase by an order of magnitude without climate mitigation. Our results show that avoiding further agricultural expansion can limit fire ignitions but that tackling climate change is essential to insulate the interior Amazon through the 21st century.
Fires damage large areas of eastern Amazon forests when ignitions from human activity coincide...
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