Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1047-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1047-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
29 Nov 2017
Research article |
| 29 Nov 2017
More homogeneous wind conditions under strong climate change decrease the potential for inter-state balancing of electricity in Europe
Forschungszentrum Jülich, Institute for Energy and Climate Research (IEK-STE), 52428 Jülich, Germany
Institute for Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne, 50937 Cologne, Germany
Mark Reyers
Institute for Geophysics and Meteorology, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
Juliane Weber
Forschungszentrum Jülich, Institute for Energy and Climate Research (IEK-STE), 52428 Jülich, Germany
Institute for Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne, 50937 Cologne, Germany
Dirk Witthaut
Forschungszentrum Jülich, Institute for Energy and Climate Research (IEK-STE), 52428 Jülich, Germany
Institute for Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne, 50937 Cologne, Germany
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Cited
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of strong climate change on the statistics of wind power generation in Europe J. Weber et al. 10.1016/j.egypro.2018.10.004
- Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019
- Climate change impact on Northwestern African offshore wind energy resources P. Soares et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5731
- Wind Power Persistence Characterized by Superstatistics J. Weber et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-56286-1
- Impacts of future changes in climate variability on Europe’s renewable electricity systems L. van der Most et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/add613
- Dissemination of PV-Battery systems in the German residential sector up to 2050: Technological diffusion from multidisciplinary perspectives S. Vögele et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2022.123477
- Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting J. Wohland et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abff89
- Future Changes of Wind Speed and Wind Energy Potentials in EURO‐CORDEX Ensemble Simulations J. Moemken et al. 10.1029/2018JD028473
- Impact of climate change on backup energy and storage needs in wind-dominated power systems in Europe J. Weber et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0201457
- Critical review of renewable generation datasets and their implications for European power system models A. Kies et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111614
- 21st Century Climate Change Impacts on Key Properties of a Large-Scale Renewable-Based Electricity System S. Kozarcanin et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2019.02.001
- Process-based climate change assessment for European winds using EURO-CORDEX and global models J. Wohland 10.1088/1748-9326/aca77f
- Collective nonlinear dynamics and self-organization in decentralized power grids D. Witthaut et al. 10.1103/RevModPhys.94.015005
- Meteorological drivers of co-occurring renewable energy droughts in Europe B. van Duinen et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115993
- Surface wind over Europe: Data and variability C. Rojas‐Labanda et al. 10.1002/joc.7739
- High-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy assessments: A review of potential definitions, methodologies and future research needs R. McKenna et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.027
- Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021
- Climate change impacts on wind energy generation in Ireland E. Doddy Clarke et al. 10.1002/we.2673
- Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types H. Bloomfield et al. 10.1002/met.1858
- Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling M. Craig et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.010
- Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024
- The influence of continued reductions in renewable energy cost on the European electricity system F. Gotzens et al. 10.1016/j.esr.2018.04.007
- Review on 100% Renewable Energy System Analyses—A Bibliometric Perspective S. Khalili & C. Breyer 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3221155
- The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe P. Gonzalez et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3
- Intersecting near-optimal spaces: European power systems with more resilience to weather variability A. Grochowicz et al. 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106496
- A modeling and optimization framework for power systems design with operational flexibility and resilience against extreme heat waves and drought events A. Abdin et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2019.06.006
- Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses J. Wohland et al. 10.1029/2018JD030083
- Wind power potential and intermittency issues in the context of climate change Y. Cai & F. Bréon 10.1016/j.enconman.2021.114276
- Natural wind variability triggered drop in German redispatch volume and costs from 2015 to 2016 J. Wohland et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0190707
- Modeling long correlation times using additive binary Markov chains: Applications to wind generation time series J. Weber et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.97.032138
- Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review L. Plaga & V. Bertsch 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120384
- Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6 X. Hou et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021
- The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable European electricity network M. Schlott et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.084
- Characteristics of wind speeds and outdoor thermal sensation considering the effect of wind speeds: An analysis based on hourly data from 1995 to 2021 in Poland D. Sachindra & M. Nowosad 10.1002/joc.7880
- Impacts of Inter-annual Wind and Solar Variations on the European Power System S. Collins et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2018.06.020
- Cost optimal scenarios of a future highly renewable European electricity system: Exploring the influence of weather data, cost parameters and policy constraints D. Schlachtberger et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2018.08.070
- How does climate change affect electricity system planning and optimal allocation of variable renewable energy? J. Peter 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113397
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impact of strong climate change on the statistics of wind power generation in Europe J. Weber et al. 10.1016/j.egypro.2018.10.004
- Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019
- Climate change impact on Northwestern African offshore wind energy resources P. Soares et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5731
- Wind Power Persistence Characterized by Superstatistics J. Weber et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-56286-1
- Impacts of future changes in climate variability on Europe’s renewable electricity systems L. van der Most et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/add613
- Dissemination of PV-Battery systems in the German residential sector up to 2050: Technological diffusion from multidisciplinary perspectives S. Vögele et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2022.123477
- Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting J. Wohland et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abff89
- Future Changes of Wind Speed and Wind Energy Potentials in EURO‐CORDEX Ensemble Simulations J. Moemken et al. 10.1029/2018JD028473
- Impact of climate change on backup energy and storage needs in wind-dominated power systems in Europe J. Weber et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0201457
- Critical review of renewable generation datasets and their implications for European power system models A. Kies et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2021.111614
- 21st Century Climate Change Impacts on Key Properties of a Large-Scale Renewable-Based Electricity System S. Kozarcanin et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2019.02.001
- Process-based climate change assessment for European winds using EURO-CORDEX and global models J. Wohland 10.1088/1748-9326/aca77f
- Collective nonlinear dynamics and self-organization in decentralized power grids D. Witthaut et al. 10.1103/RevModPhys.94.015005
- Meteorological drivers of co-occurring renewable energy droughts in Europe B. van Duinen et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115993
- Surface wind over Europe: Data and variability C. Rojas‐Labanda et al. 10.1002/joc.7739
- High-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy assessments: A review of potential definitions, methodologies and future research needs R. McKenna et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.027
- Wind speed stilling and its recovery due to internal climate variability J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1239-2021
- Climate change impacts on wind energy generation in Ireland E. Doddy Clarke et al. 10.1002/we.2673
- Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types H. Bloomfield et al. 10.1002/met.1858
- Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling M. Craig et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.010
- Extrapolation is not enough: impacts of extreme land use change on wind profiles and wind energy according to regional climate models J. Wohland et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1385-2024
- The influence of continued reductions in renewable energy cost on the European electricity system F. Gotzens et al. 10.1016/j.esr.2018.04.007
- Review on 100% Renewable Energy System Analyses—A Bibliometric Perspective S. Khalili & C. Breyer 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3221155
- The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe P. Gonzalez et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3
- Intersecting near-optimal spaces: European power systems with more resilience to weather variability A. Grochowicz et al. 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106496
- A modeling and optimization framework for power systems design with operational flexibility and resilience against extreme heat waves and drought events A. Abdin et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2019.06.006
- Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses J. Wohland et al. 10.1029/2018JD030083
- Wind power potential and intermittency issues in the context of climate change Y. Cai & F. Bréon 10.1016/j.enconman.2021.114276
- Natural wind variability triggered drop in German redispatch volume and costs from 2015 to 2016 J. Wohland et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0190707
- Modeling long correlation times using additive binary Markov chains: Applications to wind generation time series J. Weber et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.97.032138
- Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review L. Plaga & V. Bertsch 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120384
- Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6 X. Hou et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021
- The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable European electricity network M. Schlott et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.084
- Characteristics of wind speeds and outdoor thermal sensation considering the effect of wind speeds: An analysis based on hourly data from 1995 to 2021 in Poland D. Sachindra & M. Nowosad 10.1002/joc.7880
- Impacts of Inter-annual Wind and Solar Variations on the European Power System S. Collins et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2018.06.020
- Cost optimal scenarios of a future highly renewable European electricity system: Exploring the influence of weather data, cost parameters and policy constraints D. Schlachtberger et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2018.08.070
- How does climate change affect electricity system planning and optimal allocation of variable renewable energy? J. Peter 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113397
Latest update: 21 Jul 2025
Short summary
Solar and wind energy generation are weather dependent and can not be switched on when needed. Despite this, stable electricity supply can be obtained by aggregation over large areas, for example Europe. However, we show that strong climate change impedes spatial balancing of electricity because countries are more likely to suffer from simultaneous generation shortfall. As a consequence, local scarcity can less often be balanced by imports.
Solar and wind energy generation are weather dependent and can not be switched on when needed....
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