A user-friendly earth system model of low complexity: the ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100

Randers, Jorgen; Golüke, Ulrich; Wenstøp, Fred; Wenstøp, Søren

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-831-2016

Articles | Volume 7, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-831-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-831-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 7, issue 4

Research article

|

02 Nov 2016

Research article |

| 02 Nov 2016

A user-friendly earth system model of low complexity: the ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100

Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Golüke, Fred Wenstøp, and Søren Wenstøp

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Final revised paper (published on 02 Nov 2016)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 14 Apr 2016)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

SC1: 'Model equations and documentation', Jorgen Randers, 09 May 2016
- AC2: 'Updated Model in light of referee comment - Unit errors fixed', Jorgen Randers, 26 Sep 2016
RC1: 'Review of esd-2016-13 A User-friendly Earth System Model of Low Complexity: The ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Jun 2016
- SC2: 'Reply to the Interactive comment on J. Randers et al. “A User-friendly Earth System Model of Low Complexity: The ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100” by Anonymous Referee #1, published 26 June 2016.', Fred Wenstøp, 06 Sep 2016
RC2: 'Comments', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Sep 2016
AC1: 'Reply to the Interactive comments by the anonymous referees', Jorgen Randers, 26 Sep 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish as is (09 Oct 2016) by Raghavan Krishnan

AR by Jorgen Randers on behalf of the Authors (14 Oct 2016)

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Short summary

We describe ESCIMO, a system dynamics simulation model which is designed to make it simple to estimate the effects of possible human interventions to influence the global surface temperature. ESCIMO consists of sectors that track global carbon flows, global energy flows and global albedo change. One conclusion is that human interventions that cost less than 1 % of world GDP are at most able to lower the temperature rise in 2050 by up to 0.5 °C and in 2100 by up to 1.0 °C.