Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-21-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-21-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Jan 2016
Research article |
| 18 Jan 2016
Topology of sustainable management of dynamical systems with desirable states: from defining planetary boundaries to safe operating spaces in the Earth system
Research Domains Transdisciplinary Concepts & Methods and Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 13, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
T. Kittel
Research Domains Transdisciplinary Concepts & Methods and Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 13, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Department of Physics, Humboldt University, Newtonstr. 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
J. F. Donges
Research Domains Transdisciplinary Concepts & Methods and Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 13, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2B, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden
N. Molkenthin
Department for Nonlinear Dynamics & and Network Dynamics Group, Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Bunsenstraße 10, 37073 Göttingen, Germany
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Cited
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate engineering by terrestrial carbon dioxide removal V. Heck et al. 10.5194/esd-7-783-2016
- Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World–Earth modeling framework J. Donges et al. 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020
- Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops J. Donges et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021
- Using Causal Loop Diagrams to Conceptualize Groundwater as a Social-Ecological System L. Bouchet et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2022.836206
- Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science A. Downing et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c9
- From lakes and glades to viability algorithms: automatic classification of system states according to the topology of sustainable management T. Kittel et al. 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00262-2
- A Thought Experiment on Sustainable Management of the Earth System J. Heitzig et al. 10.3390/su10061947
- Data-Driven Forest Cover Change and Its Driving Factors Analysis in Africa H. Xiao et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2021.780069
- Sustainability, collapse and oscillations in a simple World-Earth model J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7581
- Survivability of Deterministic Dynamical Systems F. Hellmann et al. 10.1038/srep29654
- Timing of transients: quantifying reaching times and transient behavior in complex systems T. Kittel et al. 10.1088/1367-2630/aa7b61
- The technosphere in Earth System analysis: A coevolutionary perspective J. Donges et al. 10.1177/2053019616676608
- The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources F. Geier et al. 10.1140/epjst/e2019-900120-4
- Grounding Social Foundations for Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change J. Mathias et al. 10.1029/2020EF001573
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- Responsibility Under Uncertainty: Which Climate Decisions Matter Most? N. Botta et al. 10.1007/s10666-022-09867-w
- Constrained basin stability for studying transient phenomena in dynamical systems A. van Kan et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.042205
- Horses for courses: analytical tools to explore planetary boundaries D. van Vuuren et al. 10.5194/esd-7-267-2016
- Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability P. Søgaard Jørgensen et al. 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261
- Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades N. Wunderling et al. 10.1088/1367-2630/abc98a
- When optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither sustainable nor safe W. Barfuss et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-04738-z
- Macroscopic approximation methods for the analysis of adaptive networked agent-based models: Example of a two-sector investment model J. Kolb et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.102.042311
- Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science J. Donges et al. 10.1177/2053019617725537
- On determining the point of no return in climate change B. van Zalinge et al. 10.5194/esd-8-707-2017
- Deterministic limit of temporal difference reinforcement learning for stochastic games W. Barfuss et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.99.043305
- Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies F. Strnad et al. 10.1063/1.5124673
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate engineering by terrestrial carbon dioxide removal V. Heck et al. 10.5194/esd-7-783-2016
- Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World–Earth modeling framework J. Donges et al. 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020
- Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops J. Donges et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021
- Using Causal Loop Diagrams to Conceptualize Groundwater as a Social-Ecological System L. Bouchet et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2022.836206
- Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science A. Downing et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c9
- From lakes and glades to viability algorithms: automatic classification of system states according to the topology of sustainable management T. Kittel et al. 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00262-2
- A Thought Experiment on Sustainable Management of the Earth System J. Heitzig et al. 10.3390/su10061947
- Data-Driven Forest Cover Change and Its Driving Factors Analysis in Africa H. Xiao et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2021.780069
- Sustainability, collapse and oscillations in a simple World-Earth model J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7581
- Survivability of Deterministic Dynamical Systems F. Hellmann et al. 10.1038/srep29654
- Timing of transients: quantifying reaching times and transient behavior in complex systems T. Kittel et al. 10.1088/1367-2630/aa7b61
- The technosphere in Earth System analysis: A coevolutionary perspective J. Donges et al. 10.1177/2053019616676608
- The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources F. Geier et al. 10.1140/epjst/e2019-900120-4
- Grounding Social Foundations for Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change J. Mathias et al. 10.1029/2020EF001573
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- Responsibility Under Uncertainty: Which Climate Decisions Matter Most? N. Botta et al. 10.1007/s10666-022-09867-w
- Constrained basin stability for studying transient phenomena in dynamical systems A. van Kan et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.042205
- Horses for courses: analytical tools to explore planetary boundaries D. van Vuuren et al. 10.5194/esd-7-267-2016
- Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability P. Søgaard Jørgensen et al. 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261
- Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades N. Wunderling et al. 10.1088/1367-2630/abc98a
- When optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither sustainable nor safe W. Barfuss et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-04738-z
- Macroscopic approximation methods for the analysis of adaptive networked agent-based models: Example of a two-sector investment model J. Kolb et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.102.042311
- Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science J. Donges et al. 10.1177/2053019617725537
- On determining the point of no return in climate change B. van Zalinge et al. 10.5194/esd-8-707-2017
- Deterministic limit of temporal difference reinforcement learning for stochastic games W. Barfuss et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.99.043305
- Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies F. Strnad et al. 10.1063/1.5124673
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Short summary
The debate about a safe and just operating space for humanity and the possible pathways towards and within it requires an analysis of the inherent dynamics of the Earth system and of the options for influencing its evolution. We present and illustrate with examples a conceptual framework for performing such an analysis not in a quantitative, optimizing mode, but in a qualitative way that emphasizes the main decision dilemmas that one may face in the sustainable management of the Earth system.
The debate about a safe and just operating space for humanity and the possible pathways towards...
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