Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 133–150, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-133-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 133–150, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-133-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
23 Feb 2016
Research article
| 23 Feb 2016
Scaling regimes and linear/nonlinear responses of last millennium climate to volcanic and solar forcings
Shaun Lovejoy and Costas Varotsos
Viewed
Total article views: 2,642 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 25 Sep 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,624 | 896 | 122 | 2,642 | 109 | 120 |
- HTML: 1,624
- PDF: 896
- XML: 122
- Total: 2,642
- BibTeX: 109
- EndNote: 120
Total article views: 1,493 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 23 Feb 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 846 | 547 | 100 | 1,493 | 92 | 106 |
- HTML: 846
- PDF: 547
- XML: 100
- Total: 1,493
- BibTeX: 92
- EndNote: 106
Total article views: 1,149 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 25 Sep 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778 | 349 | 22 | 1,149 | 17 | 14 |
- HTML: 778
- PDF: 349
- XML: 22
- Total: 1,149
- BibTeX: 17
- EndNote: 14
Cited
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Probing the timescale dependency of local and global variations in surface air temperature from climate simulations and reconstructions of the last millennia B. Ellerhoff & K. Rehfeld 10.1103/PhysRevE.104.064136
- Markovian approach to the frequency of tropical cyclones and subsequent development of univariate prediction model S. Bhowmick & S. Chattopadhyay 10.1007/s00704-021-03886-5
- Comment on "Scaling regimes and linear/nonlinear responses of last millennium climate to volcanic and solar forcing" by S. Lovejoy and C. Varotsos (2016) K. Rypdal & M. Rypdal 10.5194/esd-7-597-2016
- Classification of time series of temperature variations from climatically homogeneous regions based on long‐term persistence D. Sarvan et al. 10.1002/joc.6982
- Microwave polarization characteristics of snow at 6.9 and 18.7 GHz: Estimating the water content of the snow layers C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2018.12.041
- Heterogeneity of Scaling of the Observed Global Temperature Data S. Blesić et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0823.1
- Nature-society system survivability model: Simulations of the principal natural and anthropogenic processes V. Krapivin & C. Varotsos 10.1016/j.envdev.2017.07.003
- Comparison of GCM Precipitation Predictions with Their RMSEs and Pattern Correlation Coefficients C. Yoo & E. Cho 10.3390/w10010028
- Paleoecological and recent data show a steady temporal evolution of carbon dioxide and temperature C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2019.12.022
- On the Recovery of the Water Balance C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s11270-020-04554-6
- An aeromagnetic survey system based on an unmanned autonomous helicopter: Development, experiment, and analysis Y. Pei et al. 10.1080/01431161.2016.1274448
- Modeling the state of marine ecosystems: A case study of the Okhotsk Sea C. Varotsos & V. Krapivin 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2019.02.003
- The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100 R. Procyk et al. 10.5194/esd-13-81-2022
- Future Temperature Extremes Will Be More Harmful: A New Critical Factor for Improved Forecasts C. Varotsos & Y. Mazei 10.3390/ijerph16204015
- Centennial-Scale Temperature Change in Last Millennium Simulations and Proxy-Based Reconstructions F. Ljungqvist et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0525.1
- Bayesian Information Criterion-Based Markov Chain Analysis of Some Pollutants Resulted from Heavy Use of Fireworks over Kolkata, India S. Karmakar et al. 10.1007/s41742-019-00225-5
- Impacts of climate warming on atmospheric phase transition mechanisms C. Varotsos & S. Ghosh 10.1007/s00704-016-1951-2
- Multifractal scaling properties of daily air temperature time series N. Kalamaras et al. 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.03.003
- A regime shift in the Sun-Climate connection with the end of the Medieval Climate Anomaly D. Smirnov et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-11340-8
- Comparing estimation techniques for temporal scaling in palaeoclimate time series R. Hébert et al. 10.5194/npg-28-311-2021
- A New Climate Nowcasting Tool Based on Paleoclimatic Data C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/su12145546
- An observation-based scaling model for climate sensitivity estimates and global projections to 2100 R. Hébert et al. 10.1007/s00382-020-05521-x
- Monitoring and forecasting of tropical cyclones: A new information-modeling tool to reduce the risk C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101088
- The lesson learned from the unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic in 2020; A novel nowcasting tool for such extreme events C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105330
- Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium M. Pyrina et al. 10.3390/atmos12050568
- Has global warming already arrived? C. Varotsos & M. Efstathiou 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.020
- Abrupt changes in global tropospheric temperature C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.11.001
- The Structure of Climate Variability Across Scales C. Franzke et al. 10.1029/2019RG000657
- New Optical Tools for Water Quality Diagnostics C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s11270-019-4228-4
- Construction of Value Chain E-Commerce Model Based on Stationary Wavelet Domain Deep Residual Convolutional Neural Network C. Wang & W. Wang 10.1155/2020/6611325
29 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Probing the timescale dependency of local and global variations in surface air temperature from climate simulations and reconstructions of the last millennia B. Ellerhoff & K. Rehfeld 10.1103/PhysRevE.104.064136
- Markovian approach to the frequency of tropical cyclones and subsequent development of univariate prediction model S. Bhowmick & S. Chattopadhyay 10.1007/s00704-021-03886-5
- Comment on "Scaling regimes and linear/nonlinear responses of last millennium climate to volcanic and solar forcing" by S. Lovejoy and C. Varotsos (2016) K. Rypdal & M. Rypdal 10.5194/esd-7-597-2016
- Classification of time series of temperature variations from climatically homogeneous regions based on long‐term persistence D. Sarvan et al. 10.1002/joc.6982
- Microwave polarization characteristics of snow at 6.9 and 18.7 GHz: Estimating the water content of the snow layers C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2018.12.041
- Heterogeneity of Scaling of the Observed Global Temperature Data S. Blesić et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0823.1
- Nature-society system survivability model: Simulations of the principal natural and anthropogenic processes V. Krapivin & C. Varotsos 10.1016/j.envdev.2017.07.003
- Comparison of GCM Precipitation Predictions with Their RMSEs and Pattern Correlation Coefficients C. Yoo & E. Cho 10.3390/w10010028
- Paleoecological and recent data show a steady temporal evolution of carbon dioxide and temperature C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2019.12.022
- On the Recovery of the Water Balance C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s11270-020-04554-6
- An aeromagnetic survey system based on an unmanned autonomous helicopter: Development, experiment, and analysis Y. Pei et al. 10.1080/01431161.2016.1274448
- Modeling the state of marine ecosystems: A case study of the Okhotsk Sea C. Varotsos & V. Krapivin 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2019.02.003
- The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100 R. Procyk et al. 10.5194/esd-13-81-2022
- Future Temperature Extremes Will Be More Harmful: A New Critical Factor for Improved Forecasts C. Varotsos & Y. Mazei 10.3390/ijerph16204015
- Centennial-Scale Temperature Change in Last Millennium Simulations and Proxy-Based Reconstructions F. Ljungqvist et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0525.1
- Bayesian Information Criterion-Based Markov Chain Analysis of Some Pollutants Resulted from Heavy Use of Fireworks over Kolkata, India S. Karmakar et al. 10.1007/s41742-019-00225-5
- Impacts of climate warming on atmospheric phase transition mechanisms C. Varotsos & S. Ghosh 10.1007/s00704-016-1951-2
- Multifractal scaling properties of daily air temperature time series N. Kalamaras et al. 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.03.003
- A regime shift in the Sun-Climate connection with the end of the Medieval Climate Anomaly D. Smirnov et al. 10.1038/s41598-017-11340-8
- Comparing estimation techniques for temporal scaling in palaeoclimate time series R. Hébert et al. 10.5194/npg-28-311-2021
- A New Climate Nowcasting Tool Based on Paleoclimatic Data C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/su12145546
- An observation-based scaling model for climate sensitivity estimates and global projections to 2100 R. Hébert et al. 10.1007/s00382-020-05521-x
- Monitoring and forecasting of tropical cyclones: A new information-modeling tool to reduce the risk C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101088
- The lesson learned from the unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic in 2020; A novel nowcasting tool for such extreme events C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105330
- Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium M. Pyrina et al. 10.3390/atmos12050568
- Has global warming already arrived? C. Varotsos & M. Efstathiou 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.020
- Abrupt changes in global tropospheric temperature C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.11.001
- The Structure of Climate Variability Across Scales C. Franzke et al. 10.1029/2019RG000657
- New Optical Tools for Water Quality Diagnostics C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s11270-019-4228-4
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 26 May 2022
Short summary
We compare the statistical properties of solar, volcanic and combined forcings over the range from 1 to 1000 years to see over which scale ranges they additively combine, a prediction of linear response. The main findings are (a) that the variability in the Zebiac–Cane model and GCMs are too weak at centennial and longer scales; (b) for longer than ≈ 50 years, the forcings combine subadditively; and (c) at shorter scales, strong (intermittency, e.g. volcanic) forcings are nonlinear.
We compare the statistical properties of solar, volcanic and combined forcings over the range...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint