Volume 7, 2016

Volume 7, 2016

18 Jan 2016
Lifetime of soil moisture perturbations in a coupled land–atmosphere simulation
T. Stacke and S. Hagemann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 1–19, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-1-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-1-2016, 2016
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18 Jan 2016
Topology of sustainable management of dynamical systems with desirable states: from defining planetary boundaries to safe operating spaces in the Earth system
J. Heitzig, T. Kittel, J. F. Donges, and N. Molkenthin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 21–50, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-21-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-21-2016, 2016
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29 Jan 2016
Global warming projections derived from an observation-based minimal model
K. Rypdal
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 51–70, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-51-2016, 2016
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02 Feb 2016
A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations
S. Sippel, F. E. L. Otto, M. Forkel, M. R. Allen, B. P. Guillod, M. Heimann, M. Reichstein, S. I. Seneviratne, K. Thonicke, and M. D. Mahecha
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 71–88, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-71-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-71-2016, 2016
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08 Feb 2016
Perspectives on contextual vulnerability in discourses of climate conflict
U. T. Okpara, L. C. Stringer, and A. J. Dougill
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 89–102, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-89-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-89-2016, 2016
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11 Feb 2016
Comment on: "Recent revisions of phosphate rock reserves and resources: a critique" by Edixhoven et al. (2014) – clarifying comments and thoughts on key conceptions, conclusions and interpretation to allow for sustainable action
R. W. Scholz and F.-W. Wellmer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 103–117, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-103-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-103-2016, 2016
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15 Feb 2016
Climate model emulation in an integrated assessment framework: a case study for mitigation policies in the electricity sector
A. M. Foley, P. B. Holden, N. R. Edwards, J.-F. Mercure, P. Salas, H. Pollitt, and U. Chewpreecha
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 119–132, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-119-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-119-2016, 2016
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23 Feb 2016
Scaling regimes and linear/nonlinear responses of last millennium climate to volcanic and solar forcings
Shaun Lovejoy and Costas Varotsos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 133–150, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-133-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-133-2016, 2016
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23 Feb 2016
Potential impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on future agricultural land use in West Africa
Kazi Farzan Ahmed, Guiling Wang, Liangzhi You, and Miao Yu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 151–165, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-151-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-151-2016, 2016
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07 Mar 2016
The role of spatial scale and background climate in the latitudinal temperature response to deforestation
Yan Li, Nathalie De Noblet-Ducoudré, Edouard L. Davin, Safa Motesharrei, Ning Zeng, Shuangcheng Li, and Eugenia Kalnay
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 167–181, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-167-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-167-2016, 2016
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09 Mar 2016
Groundwater nitrate concentration evolution under climate change and agricultural adaptation scenarios: Prince Edward Island, Canada
Daniel Paradis, Harold Vigneault, René Lefebvre, Martine M. Savard, Jean-Marc Ballard, and Budong Qian
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 183–202, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-183-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-183-2016, 2016
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10 Mar 2016
| Highlight paper
Delaying future sea-level rise by storing water in Antarctica
K. Frieler, M. Mengel, and A. Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 203–210, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-203-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-203-2016, 2016
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09 Mar 2016
Projections of leaf area index in earth system models
Natalie Mahowald, Fiona Lo, Yun Zheng, Laura Harrison, Chris Funk, Danica Lombardozzi, and Christine Goodale
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 211–229, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-211-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-211-2016, 2016
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11 Mar 2016
| Highlight paper
Imprints of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data
Jiří Mikšovský, Eva Holtanová, and Petr Pišoft
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 231–249, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-231-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-231-2016, 2016
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14 Mar 2016
Observationally based analysis of land–atmosphere coupling
Franco Catalano, Andrea Alessandri, Matteo De Felice, Zaichun Zhu, and Ranga B. Myneni
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 251–266, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-251-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-251-2016, 2016
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21 Mar 2016
Horses for courses: analytical tools to explore planetary boundaries
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Paul L. Lucas, Tiina Häyhä, Sarah E. Cornell, and Mark Stafford-Smith
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 267–279, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-267-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-267-2016, 2016
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31 Mar 2016
Late Quaternary temperature variability described as abrupt transitions on a 1/f noise background
Martin Rypdal and Kristoffer Rypdal
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 281–293, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-281-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-281-2016, 2016
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07 Apr 2016
The Southern Ocean as a constraint to reduce uncertainty in future ocean carbon sinks
A. Kessler and J. Tjiputra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 295–312, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-295-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-295-2016, 2016
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13 Apr 2016
| Highlight paper
Early warning signals of tipping points in periodically forced systems
Mark S. Williamson, Sebastian Bathiany, and Timothy M. Lenton
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 313–326, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-313-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-313-2016, 2016
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21 Apr 2016
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Tabea K. Lissner, Erich M. Fischer, Jan Wohland, Mahé Perrette, Antonius Golly, Joeri Rogelj, Katelin Childers, Jacob Schewe, Katja Frieler, Matthias Mengel, William Hare, and Michiel Schaeffer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 327–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016, 2016
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22 Apr 2016
| Highlight paper
Revolutions in energy input and material cycling in Earth history and human history
Timothy M. Lenton, Peter-Paul Pichler, and Helga Weisz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 353–370, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-353-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-353-2016, 2016
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22 Apr 2016
Atmospheric rivers moisture sources from a Lagrangian perspective
Alexandre M. Ramos, Raquel Nieto, Ricardo Tomé, Luis Gimeno, Ricardo M. Trigo, Margarida L. R. Liberato, and David A. Lavers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 371–384, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-371-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-371-2016, 2016
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26 Apr 2016
Effect of various climate databases on the results of dendroclimatic analysis
Roman Sitko, Jaroslav Vido, Jaroslav Škvarenina, Viliam Pichler, Ĺubomír Scheer, Jana Škvareninová, and Paulína Nalevanková
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 385–395, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-385-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-385-2016, 2016
26 Apr 2016
An ice sheet model of reduced complexity for paleoclimate studies
Basil Neff, Andreas Born, and Thomas F. Stocker
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 397–418, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-397-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-397-2016, 2016
28 Apr 2016
Are there multiple scaling regimes in Holocene temperature records?
Tine Nilsen, Kristoffer Rypdal, and Hege-Beate Fredriksen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 419–439, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-419-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-419-2016, 2016
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10 May 2016
Actors and networks in resource conflict resolution under climate change in rural Kenya
Grace W. Ngaruiya and Jürgen Scheffran
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 441–452, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-441-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-441-2016, 2016
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10 May 2016
| Highlight paper
Alluvial plain dynamics in the southern Amazonian foreland basin
Umberto Lombardo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 453–467, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-453-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-453-2016, 2016
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24 May 2016
Geoengineering as a design problem
Ben Kravitz, Douglas G. MacMartin, Hailong Wang, and Philip J. Rasch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 469–497, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-469-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-469-2016, 2016
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26 May 2016
Comparing peasants' perceptions of precipitation change with precipitation records in the tropical Callejón de Huaylas, Peru
Wolfgang Gurgiser, Irmgard Juen, Katrin Singer, Martina Neuburger, Simone Schauwecker, Marlis Hofer, and Georg Kaser
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 499–515, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-499-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-499-2016, 2016
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20 Jun 2016
A wavelet-based approach to detect climate change on the coherent and turbulent component of the atmospheric circulation
Davide Faranda and Dimitri Defrance
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 517–523, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-517-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-517-2016, 2016
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28 Jun 2016
| Highlight paper
Spatial and temporal variations in plant water-use efficiency inferred from tree-ring, eddy covariance and atmospheric observations
Stefan C. Dekker, Margriet Groenendijk, Ben B. B. Booth, Chris Huntingford, and Peter M. Cox
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 525–533, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-525-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-525-2016, 2016
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06 Jul 2016
Radiative forcing and feedback by forests in warm climates – a sensitivity study
Ulrike Port, Martin Claussen, and Victor Brovkin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 535–547, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-535-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-535-2016, 2016
08 Jul 2016
A Lagrangian analysis of the present-day sources of moisture for major ice-core sites
Anita Drumond, Erica Taboada, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, and Juan Ignacio López-Moreno
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 549–558, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-549-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-549-2016, 2016
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08 Jul 2016
Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing, while export to the ocean remains uncertain
F. Langerwisch, A. Walz, A. Rammig, B. Tietjen, K. Thonicke, and W. Cramer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 559–582, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-559-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-559-2016, 2016
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12 Jul 2016
Evidence of cosmic recurrent and lagged millennia-scale patterns and consequent forecasts: multi-scale responses of solar activity (SA) to planetary gravitational forcing (PGF)
Jorge Sánchez-Sesma
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 583–595, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-583-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-583-2016, 2016
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13 Jul 2016
Comment on "Scaling regimes and linear/nonlinear responses of last millennium climate to volcanic and solar forcing" by S. Lovejoy and C. Varotsos (2016)
Kristoffer Rypdal and Martin Rypdal
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 597–609, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-597-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-597-2016, 2016
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25 Jul 2016
Soil-frost-enabled soil-moisture–precipitation feedback over northern high latitudes
Stefan Hagemann, Tanja Blome, Altug Ekici, and Christian Beer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 611–625, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-611-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-611-2016, 2016
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26 Jul 2016
Vegetation–climate feedbacks modulate rainfall patterns in Africa under future climate change
Minchao Wu, Guy Schurgers, Markku Rummukainen, Benjamin Smith, Patrick Samuelsson, Christer Jansson, Joe Siltberg, and Wilhelm May
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 627–647, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-627-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-627-2016, 2016
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29 Jul 2016
Divergent predictions of carbon storage between two global land models: attribution of the causes through traceability analysis
Rashid Rafique, Jianyang Xia, Oleksandra Hararuk, Ghassem R. Asrar, Guoyong Leng, Yingping Wang, and Yiqi Luo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 649–658, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-649-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-649-2016, 2016
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23 Aug 2016
Hazard interactions and interaction networks (cascades) within multi-hazard methodologies
Joel C. Gill and Bruce D. Malamud
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 659–679, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-659-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-659-2016, 2016
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23 Aug 2016
| Highlight paper
Hemispherically asymmetric volcanic forcing of tropical hydroclimate during the last millennium
Christopher M. Colose, Allegra N. LeGrande, and Mathias Vuille
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 681–696, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-681-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-681-2016, 2016
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29 Aug 2016
| Highlight paper
Why CO2 cools the middle atmosphere – a consolidating model perspective
Helge F. Goessling and Sebastian Bathiany
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 697–715, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-697-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-697-2016, 2016
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30 Aug 2016
Coherence among the Northern Hemisphere land, cryosphere, and ocean responses to natural variability and anthropogenic forcing during the satellite era
Alemu Gonsamo, Jing M. Chen, Drew T. Shindell, and Gregory P. Asner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 717–734, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-717-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-717-2016, 2016
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31 Aug 2016
Minimal change of thermal continentality in Slovakia within the period 1961–2013
Jozef Vilček, Jaroslav Škvarenina, Jaroslav Vido, Paulína Nalevanková, Radoslav Kandrík, and Jana Škvareninová
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 735–744, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-735-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-735-2016, 2016
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15 Sep 2016
Impacts of land-use history on the recovery of ecosystems after agricultural abandonment
Andreas Krause, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Anita D. Bayer, Mats Lindeskog, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 745–766, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-745-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-745-2016, 2016
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20 Sep 2016
Seasonality and spatial variability of dynamic precipitation controls on the Tibetan Plateau
Julia Curio and Dieter Scherer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 767–782, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-767-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-767-2016, 2016
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31 Oct 2016
Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate engineering by terrestrial carbon dioxide removal
Vera Heck, Jonathan F. Donges, and Wolfgang Lucht
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 783–796, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-783-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-783-2016, 2016
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01 Nov 2016
Revisiting ocean carbon sequestration by direct injection: a global carbon budget perspective
Fabian Reith, David P. Keller, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 797–812, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-797-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-797-2016, 2016
01 Nov 2016
| Highlight paper
Towards improved and more routine Earth system model evaluation in CMIP
Veronika Eyring, Peter J. Gleckler, Christoph Heinze, Ronald J. Stouffer, Karl E. Taylor, V. Balaji, Eric Guilyardi, Sylvie Joussaume, Stephan Kindermann, Bryan N. Lawrence, Gerald A. Meehl, Mattia Righi, and Dean N. Williams
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 813–830, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-813-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-813-2016, 2016
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02 Nov 2016
A user-friendly earth system model of low complexity: the ESCIMO system dynamics model of global warming towards 2100
Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Golüke, Fred Wenstøp, and Søren Wenstøp
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 831–850, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-831-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-831-2016, 2016
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10 Nov 2016
The use of regression for assessing a seasonal forecast model experiment
Rasmus E. Benestad, Retish Senan, and Yvan Orsolini
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 851–861, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-851-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-851-2016, 2016
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10 Nov 2016
Ocean–atmosphere interactions modulate irrigation's climate impacts
Nir Y. Krakauer, Michael J. Puma, Benjamin I. Cook, Pierre Gentine, and Larissa Nazarenko
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 863–876, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-863-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-863-2016, 2016
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11 Nov 2016
Response of the AMOC to reduced solar radiation – the modulating role of atmospheric chemistry
Stefan Muthers, Christoph C. Raible, Eugene Rozanov, and Thomas F. Stocker
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 877–892, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-877-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-877-2016, 2016
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17 Nov 2016
Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
Kerstin Engström, Stefan Olin, Mark D. A. Rounsevell, Sara Brogaard, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Peter Alexander, Dave Murray-Rust, and Almut Arneth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 893–915, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-893-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-893-2016, 2016
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24 Nov 2016
The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model
Doug McNeall, Jonny Williams, Ben Booth, Richard Betts, Peter Challenor, Andy Wiltshire, and David Sexton
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 917–935, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-917-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-917-2016, 2016
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02 Dec 2016
A conceptual model of oceanic heat transport in the Snowball Earth scenario
Darin Comeau, Douglas A. Kurtze, and Juan M. Restrepo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 937–951, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-937-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-937-2016, 2016
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09 Dec 2016
Deforestation in Amazonia impacts riverine carbon dynamics
Fanny Langerwisch, Ariane Walz, Anja Rammig, Britta Tietjen, Kirsten Thonicke, and Wolfgang Cramer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 953–968, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-953-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-953-2016, 2016
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13 Dec 2016
Weather and resource information as tools for dealing with farmer–pastoralist conflicts in the Sahel
Ole Mertz, Kjeld Rasmussen, and Laura Vang Rasmussen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 969–976, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-969-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-969-2016, 2016
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21 Dec 2016
Vulnerability to climate change and adaptation strategies of local communities in Malawi: experiences of women fish-processing groups in the Lake Chilwa Basin
Hanne Jørstad and Christian Webersik
Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 977–989, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-977-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-977-2016, 2016
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