Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
22 Oct 2014
Research article |
| 22 Oct 2014
Climate impacts on human livelihoods: where uncertainty matters in projections of water availability
T. K. Lissner
Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
D. E. Reusser
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
J. Schewe
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
T. Lakes
Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
J. P. Kropp
Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Potsdam University, Potsdam, Germany
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
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Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) can provide alternative insights that conventional land-use models are unable to generate. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) can interpret the results of the purely data-driven approach. XGBoost achieved similar and robust simulation results. SHAP values were useful for analysing the complex relationship between the different drivers of grassland degradation.
Wei Weng, Matthias K. B. Luedeke, Delphine C. Zemp, Tobia Lakes, and Juergen P. Kropp
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We provide a detailed spatial analysis of hydrological impacts of land use change in Amazonia, focusing on the aspect of
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Boris F. Prahl, Diego Rybski, Markus Boettle, and Jürgen P. Kropp
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M. Boettle, D. Rybski, and J. P. Kropp
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M. Pfannerstill, B. Guse, D. Reusser, and N. Fohrer
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B. F. Prahl, D. Rybski, O. Burghoff, and J. P. Kropp
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V. Huber, H. J. Schellnhuber, N. W. Arnell, K. Frieler, A. D. Friend, D. Gerten, I. Haddeland, P. Kabat, H. Lotze-Campen, W. Lucht, M. Parry, F. Piontek, C. Rosenzweig, J. Schewe, and L. Warszawski
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T. K. Lissner, C. A. Sullivan, D. E. Reusser, and J. P. Kropp
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A. Menon, A. Levermann, J. Schewe, J. Lehmann, and K. Frieler
Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 287–300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-287-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-287-2013, 2013
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Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F. Donges, Marc Wiedermann, and Wolfgang Lucht
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Ole Mertz, Kjeld Rasmussen, and Laura Vang Rasmussen
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Timothy M. Lenton, Peter-Paul Pichler, and Helga Weisz
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J. Heitzig, T. Kittel, J. F. Donges, and N. Molkenthin
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T. Ide and C. Fröhlich
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M. V. Ogra and R. Badola
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 505–523, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-505-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-505-2015, 2015
R. Cremades, J. Wang, and J. Morris
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 399–410, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-399-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-399-2015, 2015
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A. Milan, G. Gioli, and T. Afifi
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M. Abid, J. Scheffran, U. A. Schneider, and M. Ashfaq
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S. P. K. Bowring, L. M. Miller, L. Ganzeveld, and A. Kleidon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 43–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-43-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-43-2014, 2014
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Short summary
Climate change will have impacts on many different sectors of society, but a systematic method to quantify human well-being and livelihoods across sectors is so far unavailable. This paper presents the AHEAD approach, which allows for relating impacts of climate change to 16 dimensions of livelihoods and well-being. Using the example of changes in water availability, the results show how climate change impacts AHEAD. The approach also provides a tool to frame uncertainties from climate models.
Climate change will have impacts on many different sectors of society, but a systematic method...
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