Articles | Volume 17, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-929-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-929-2026
Research article
 | 
01 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 01 Jul 2026

Strong intensification of extreme fire weather in Europe under 3 °C compared to 2 °C global warming

A. Serkan Bayar, Joaquim G. Pinto, Célia M. Gouveia, and Alexandre M. Ramos

Data sets

Copernicus Global Land Service: Land Cover 100m: collection 3: epoch 2019: Globe (V3.0.1) Marcel Buchhorn et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3939050

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Short summary

Europe is warming faster than the global average, raising concerns about future wildfire risks. Using regional climate models, we find that extreme fire weather is projected to become more severe, more frequent, and more widespread across the continent, especially if global warming reaches 3 °C. The projected increase is mainly linked to a drier atmosphere. Our findings highlight the need to limit warming and strengthen adaptation practices to protect vulnerable ecosystems and communities.

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