Articles | Volume 17, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026
Research article
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29 Jun 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 29 Jun 2026

Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth's energy imbalance

Kyriaki Bimpiri, Thomas Hocking, and Thorsten Mauritsen

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-163', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-163', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Mar 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Apr 2026) by Martin Wild
AR by Kyriaki Bimpiri on behalf of the Authors (20 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (27 Apr 2026) by Martin Wild
AR by Kyriaki Bimpiri on behalf of the Authors (25 May 2026)  Manuscript 
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Editorial statement
The authors identify a close relationship between the Earth's energy imbalance and equilibrium climate sensitivity, enabling to constrain the sensitivity based on the observed energy imbalance magnitude. Their results indicate that models with moderate equilibrium climate sensitivity agree best with the observed energy imbalance.
Short summary

Observations show an increasing imbalance between how much energy the Earth absorbs from the Sun and emits back to space, leading to climate change. We evaluate how well climate models simulate both the magnitude and trend of the imbalance. We find that models capture the magnitude but underestimate the trend, which is not related to how models handle volcanic aerosols when switching to future scenarios. The models that best simulate the magnitude are the ones with moderate climate sensitivity.

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