Articles | Volume 17, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-795-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-795-2026
Research article
 | 
19 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 19 Jun 2026

Deep learning-based chlorophyll prediction: comparison with a dynamic model and applications to fish catch forecasting

Ji-Sook Park, Jong-Yeon Park, Yoo-Geun Ham, Jeong-Hwan Kim, and Woo Jin Jeon

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Cited articles

Amorim, F. d. L. L. d., Rick, J., Lohmann, G., and Wiltshire, K. H.: Evaluation of machine learning predictions of a highly resolved time series of chlorophyll-a concentration, Appl. Sci., 11, 7208, https://doi.org/10.3390/app11167208, 2021. 
Balaji, V., Couvreux, F., Deshayes, J., Gautrais, J., Hourdinf, F., and Rio, C.: Are general circulation models obsolete?, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 119, 10, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2202075119, 2022. 
Balmaseda, M. A., McAdam, R., Masina, S., Mayer, M., Senan, R., de Bosisséson, E., and Gualdi, S.: Skill assessment of seasonal forecasts of ocean variables, Front. Mar. Sci., 11, 1380545, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1380545, 2024. 
Banerjee, D. S., Blackford, J., Kulk, G., Sathyendranath, S., Bruggeman, J., Meek, E., and Bouman, H.: Hybrid Physics–AI Ecosystem Simulations Improve Biogeochemical Predictions in Temperate Shelf Seas, EarthArXiv [preprint], https://doi.org/10.31223/X5C74R, 2026. 
Beal, L. M. and Bryden, H. L.: The velocity and vorticity structure of the Agulhas Current at 32 S, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 104, 5151–5176, 1999. 
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We developed a deep learning system to predict future ocean phytoplankton, the base of the marine food web. Using long-term records from climate model simulations and past ocean data, it provides skillful chlorophyll forecasts across global coastal regions, comparable to those from dynamic climate model forecasts. The predicted chlorophyll also explains historical changes in fish catch, offering a new tool to help communities prepare for climate-driven marine ecosystem changes.
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