Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1151-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1151-2026
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
25 Aug 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 25 Aug 2026

Historical Climate and Future Projection in the North Atlantic and Arctic: Insights from EC-Earth3 High-Resolution Simulations

Mehdi Pasha Karami, Torben Koenigk, Shiyu Wang, René Navarro Labastida, Tim Kruschke, Aude Carréric, Pablo Ortega, Klaus Wyser, Ramon Fuentes Franco, Agatha M. de Boer, Marie Sicard, and Aitor Aldama Campino

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2653', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Jul 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Pasha Karami, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2653', Caroline Katsman, 10 Oct 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Pasha Karami, 19 Dec 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (08 Jan 2026) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
AR by Pasha Karami on behalf of the Authors (19 Feb 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Feb 2026) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
RR by Caroline Katsman (12 Mar 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (19 Mar 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (17 Apr 2026) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
AR by Pasha Karami on behalf of the Authors (04 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (15 Jun 2026) by Daniel Kirk-Davidoff
AR by Pasha Karami on behalf of the Authors (02 Jul 2026)  Manuscript 
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Editorial statement
The manuscript's findings of improved sea-ice cover accuracy and the quickness of future declines is of interest to a general audience. In addition, the complexity of the relationship between deep water formation and the over-all AMOC strength is an important aspect of the science that should be understood by a general audience when AMOC declines and its associated climate impact is discussed.
Short summary
This study uses a high-resolution global climate model to simulate future climate, with a particular focus on the Arctic and North Atlantic. The model projects a nearly ice-free Arctic by 2040. The paper also introduces a framework to diagnose deep-water formation (DWF) in the Labrador, Irminger, and Greenland Seas and to quantify their regional contributions to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), revealing how different ocean regions contribute to the weakening of AMOC in a warming climate.
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