Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-215-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-215-2025
Research article
 | 
30 Jan 2025
Research article |  | 30 Jan 2025

Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Arie Staal, Pim Meijer, Maganizo Kruger Nyasulu, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, and Stefan C. Dekker

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Cited articles

Abdelmoaty, H. M., Papalexiou, S. M., Rajulapati, C. R., and AghaKouchak, A.: Biases beyond the mean in CMIP6 extreme precipitation: a global investigation, Earths Future, 9, e2021EF002196, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002196, 2021. 
Arias, P. A., Rendón, M. L., Martínez, J. A., and Allan, R. P.: Changes in atmospheric moisture transport over tropical South America: an analysis under a climate change scenario, Clim. Dynam., 61, 4949–4969, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06833-4, 2023. 
Bagley, J. E., Desai, A. R., Dirmeyer, P. A., and Foley, J. A.: Effects of land cover change on moisture availability and potential crop yield in the world's breadbaskets, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 014009, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014009, 2012. 
Baker, J. C. A. and Spracklen, D. V.: Divergent representation of precipitation recycling in the Amazon and the Congo in CMIP6 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2021GL095136, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095136, 2022. 
Baudena, M., Tuinenburg, O. A., Ferdinand, P. A., and Staal, A.: Effects of land-use change in the Amazon on precipitation are likely underestimated, Glob. Change Biol., 27, 5580–5587, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15810, 2021. 
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Many areas across the globe rely on upwind land areas for their precipitation supply through terrestrial precipitation recycling. Here we simulate global precipitation recycling in four climate and land-use scenarios until 2100. We find that global terrestrial moisture recycling decreases by 1.5 % with every degree of global warming but with strong regional differences.

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