Global stability and tipping point prediction in a coral–algae model using landscape–flux theory
Li Xu,Denis D. Patterson,Simon Asher Levin,and Jin Wang
Li Xu
State Key Laboratory of Electroanalytical Chemistry, Changchun Institute of Applied Chemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun, Jilin, 130022, PR China
Denis D. Patterson
Department of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Upper Mountjoy Campus, Stockton Road, Durham DH1 3LE, UK
High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
Department of Chemistry and of Physics and Astronomy, State University of New York at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY 11794-3400, USA
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Predicting sudden changes in ecosystems is a major challenge in ecology. Using a framework called the non-equilibrium landscape and flux theory, we studied how ecosystems shift between stable states. Focusing on coral reefs, we identified early warning signals that detect critical transitions earlier than traditional methods. This approach could help predict catastrophic changes in various ecosystems, offering valuable insights for conservation efforts.
Predicting sudden changes in ecosystems is a major challenge in ecology. Using a framework...