Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-429-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-429-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Axel A. J. Deijns
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Department of Earth Sciences, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium
Emanuele Bevacqua
Department of Compound Environmental Risks, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
Gabriele Messori
Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
Swedish Centre for Impacts of Climate Extremes (climes), Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Jakob Zscheischler
Department of Compound Environmental Risks, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
Department of Hydro Sciences, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany
Wim Thiery
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
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Cited
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of land use and land cover (LULC) and vegetation degradation state from wildfire within the scope of forest landscape restoration (FLR) in Cameroon K. Dahan et al. 10.1080/22797254.2025.2498955
- High water turnover, hydration status, and heat stress among Daasanach pastoralists in a hot, semi-arid climate A. McGrosky et al. 10.1093/emph/eoaf017
- Human-in-the-loop tabular data extraction methods for historical climate data rescue B. Vercruysse et al. 10.1007/s10032-025-00524-y
- Evaluating the Impacts of Climate Change on Agricultural Water Availability and Adaptation Options in the Kagera Sub-Basin, Tanzania N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1007/s41101-025-00405-9
- Spatiotemporal climate change projection and trend analysis using selected downscaled CMIP6 models for water action over awash River Basin, Ethiopia A. Legass et al. 10.1016/j.envc.2024.101059
- Chronic Stress and Severe Water Insecurity During the Historic 2022 Drought in Northern Kenya Were Associated With Inflammation Among Daasanach Seminomadic Pastoralists K. Roba et al. 10.1002/ajhb.70009
- Opportunities and challenges for people-centered multi-hazard early warning systems: Perspectives from the Global South M. Budimir et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112353
- Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts K. Worou & G. Messori 10.1088/1748-9326/adfe82
- Hydrologic Extremes in a Changing Climate: a Review of Extremes in East Africa M. Taye & E. Dyer 10.1007/s40641-024-00193-9
- Amplification of compound hot-dry extremes and associated population exposure over East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.1007/s10584-024-03802-6
8 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of land use and land cover (LULC) and vegetation degradation state from wildfire within the scope of forest landscape restoration (FLR) in Cameroon K. Dahan et al. 10.1080/22797254.2025.2498955
- High water turnover, hydration status, and heat stress among Daasanach pastoralists in a hot, semi-arid climate A. McGrosky et al. 10.1093/emph/eoaf017
- Human-in-the-loop tabular data extraction methods for historical climate data rescue B. Vercruysse et al. 10.1007/s10032-025-00524-y
- Evaluating the Impacts of Climate Change on Agricultural Water Availability and Adaptation Options in the Kagera Sub-Basin, Tanzania N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1007/s41101-025-00405-9
- Spatiotemporal climate change projection and trend analysis using selected downscaled CMIP6 models for water action over awash River Basin, Ethiopia A. Legass et al. 10.1016/j.envc.2024.101059
- Chronic Stress and Severe Water Insecurity During the Historic 2022 Drought in Northern Kenya Were Associated With Inflammation Among Daasanach Seminomadic Pastoralists K. Roba et al. 10.1002/ajhb.70009
- Opportunities and challenges for people-centered multi-hazard early warning systems: Perspectives from the Global South M. Budimir et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112353
- Compounding droughts and floods amplify socio-economic impacts K. Worou & G. Messori 10.1088/1748-9326/adfe82
Latest update: 17 Sep 2025
Chief editor
Extremes are of utmost importance due to their impacts on life and livelihoods or people. Also Africa is a relatively less studied region but where people are also strongly affected by extremes and thus are very vulnerable. This study uses a systematic approach to examine concurrent extremes.
Extremes are of utmost importance due to their impacts on life and livelihoods or people. Also...
Short summary
Climate change affects the interaction, dependence, and joint occurrence of climate extremes. Here we investigate the joint occurrence of pairs of river floods, droughts, heatwaves, crop failures, wildfires, and tropical cyclones in East Africa under past and future climate conditions. Our results show that, across all future warming scenarios, the frequency and spatial extent of these co-occurring extremes will increase in this region, particularly in areas close to the Nile and Congo rivers.
Climate change affects the interaction, dependence, and joint occurrence of climate extremes....
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