Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Perspective
| 
15 Aug 2024
Perspective |
| 15 Aug 2024
| 15 Aug 2024
Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Jonas Schwaab
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Yann Quilcaille
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Michael Windisch
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Jonathan Doelman
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the Netherlands
Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Stefan Frank
Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Mykola Gusti
Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Petr Havlik
Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Florian Humpenöder
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik
Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Christoph Müller
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Kanishka Balu Narayan
Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, USA
Ryan Sebastian Padrón
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Hydrological Forecasts, Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Alexander Popp
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Detlef van Vuuren
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the Netherlands
Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Michael Wögerer
Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Viewed
Total article views: 3,258 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 19 Jan 2024)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,675 | 469 | 114 | 3,258 | 225 | 106 | 126 |
- HTML: 2,675
- PDF: 469
- XML: 114
- Total: 3,258
- Supplement: 225
- BibTeX: 106
- EndNote: 126
Total article views: 2,578 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 15 Aug 2024)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,218 | 277 | 83 | 2,578 | 166 | 86 | 101 |
- HTML: 2,218
- PDF: 277
- XML: 83
- Total: 2,578
- Supplement: 166
- BibTeX: 86
- EndNote: 101
Total article views: 680 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 19 Jan 2024)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457 | 192 | 31 | 680 | 59 | 20 | 25 |
- HTML: 457
- PDF: 192
- XML: 31
- Total: 680
- Supplement: 59
- BibTeX: 20
- EndNote: 25
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 3,258 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,219 with geography defined
and 39 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 2,578 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,534 with geography defined
and 44 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 680 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 680 with geography defined
and 0 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Landscape fires and decreasing carbon sequestration capacity: Quantifying greenhouse gas emissions due to the Russo–Ukrainian war R. Vasylyshyn et al.
- Overshoot: A Conceptual Review of Exceeding and Returning to Global Warming of 1.5°C A. Reisinger et al.
- Implications of climate change impacts for emission and land use scenario development C. Tebaldi et al.
- A survival guide for assessing global fire risks to natural and human systems C. Steinmann et al.
- Implications of states’ dependence on carbon dioxide removal for achieving the Paris temperature goal R. Stuart-Smith et al.
- Climate response to Nature Future scenarios in a regional Earth System Model P. Sieber et al.
- Biodiversity implications of land-intensive carbon dioxide removal R. Prütz et al.
- Projections of current and future European potential vegetation types M. Jung
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al.
- Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies M. Tavoni et al.
- Durability of carbon dioxide removal is critical for Paris climate goals C. Brunner et al.
- Conversion from coniferous to broadleaved trees can make European forests more climate-effective Y. Yao et al.
- Global economic exposure to climate change amplified by spatially compounding climate extremes B. Biess et al.
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Landscape fires and decreasing carbon sequestration capacity: Quantifying greenhouse gas emissions due to the Russo–Ukrainian war R. Vasylyshyn et al.
- Overshoot: A Conceptual Review of Exceeding and Returning to Global Warming of 1.5°C A. Reisinger et al.
- Implications of climate change impacts for emission and land use scenario development C. Tebaldi et al.
- A survival guide for assessing global fire risks to natural and human systems C. Steinmann et al.
- Implications of states’ dependence on carbon dioxide removal for achieving the Paris temperature goal R. Stuart-Smith et al.
- Climate response to Nature Future scenarios in a regional Earth System Model P. Sieber et al.
- Biodiversity implications of land-intensive carbon dioxide removal R. Prütz et al.
- Projections of current and future European potential vegetation types M. Jung
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al.
- Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies M. Tavoni et al.
- Durability of carbon dioxide removal is critical for Paris climate goals C. Brunner et al.
- Conversion from coniferous to broadleaved trees can make European forests more climate-effective Y. Yao et al.
- Global economic exposure to climate change amplified by spatially compounding climate extremes B. Biess et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 30 Apr 2026
Short summary
Climate change mitigation strategies developed with socioeconomic models rely on the widespread (re)planting of trees to limit global warming below 2°. However, most of these models neglect climate-driven shifts in forest damage like fires. By assessing existing mitigation scenarios, we show the exposure of projected forestation areas to fire-promoting weather conditions. Our study highlights the problem of ignoring climate-driven shifts in forest damage and ways to address it.
Climate change mitigation strategies developed with socioeconomic models rely on the widespread...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint