Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Research article
 | 
17 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 17 Apr 2023

Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations

Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Joseph J. Clarke, and Paul D. L. Ritchie

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Latest update: 26 Dec 2024
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Short summary
Emergent constraints (ECs) reduce the spread of projections between climate models. ECs estimate changes to climate features impacting adaptation policy, and with this high profile, the method is under scrutiny. Asking What is an EC?, we suggest they are often the discovery of parameters that characterise hidden large-scale equations that climate models solve implicitly. We present this conceptually via two examples. Our analysis implies possible new paths to link ECs and physical processes.
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