Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK
Paul D. L. Ritchie
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK
Peter M. Cox
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections C. Jones et al. 10.1029/2023AV001024
- Investigating Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over India Using Multimodel Simulations of Gross Primary Productivity and Satellite‐Based Biophysical Product G. Uchale et al. 10.1029/2023JG007468
- Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system B. Flores et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0
- Limited Mitigation Potential of Forestation Under a High Emissions Scenario: Results From Multi‐Model and Single Model Ensembles T. Loughran et al. 10.1029/2023JG007605
- Synthesis of the land carbon fluxes of the Amazon region between 2010 and 2020 T. Rosan et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01205-0
- Biochar effects on NTFP-enriched secondary forest growth and soil properties in Amazonian Ecuador P. Ríos Guayasamín et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119068
- Flower production decreases with warmer and more humid atmospheric conditions in a western Amazonian forest J. Vleminckx et al. 10.1111/nph.19388
- A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may stabilise eastern Amazonian rainforests D. Nian et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01123-7
- The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation N. Bochow & N. Boers 10.1126/sciadv.add9973
- Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances V. Benson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80
- Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models I. Parry et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022
- Fire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation M. Drüke et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00911-5
- Increases in the temperature seasonal cycle indicate long-term drying trends in Amazonia P. Ritchie et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00528-0
- Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points D. Armstrong McKay et al. 10.1126/science.abn7950
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- RECCAP2 Future Component: Consistency and Potential for Regional Assessment to Constrain Global Projections C. Jones et al. 10.1029/2023AV001024
- Investigating Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over India Using Multimodel Simulations of Gross Primary Productivity and Satellite‐Based Biophysical Product G. Uchale et al. 10.1029/2023JG007468
- Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system B. Flores et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0
- Limited Mitigation Potential of Forestation Under a High Emissions Scenario: Results From Multi‐Model and Single Model Ensembles T. Loughran et al. 10.1029/2023JG007605
- Synthesis of the land carbon fluxes of the Amazon region between 2010 and 2020 T. Rosan et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01205-0
- Biochar effects on NTFP-enriched secondary forest growth and soil properties in Amazonian Ecuador P. Ríos Guayasamín et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119068
- Flower production decreases with warmer and more humid atmospheric conditions in a western Amazonian forest J. Vleminckx et al. 10.1111/nph.19388
- A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may stabilise eastern Amazonian rainforests D. Nian et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01123-7
- The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation N. Bochow & N. Boers 10.1126/sciadv.add9973
- Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances V. Benson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models I. Parry et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022
- Fire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation M. Drüke et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00911-5
- Increases in the temperature seasonal cycle indicate long-term drying trends in Amazonia P. Ritchie et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00528-0
- Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points D. Armstrong McKay et al. 10.1126/science.abn7950
Latest update: 28 Mar 2024
Chief editor
The health of the amazon ecosystem is a key indicator of the health of our planet. Hence, the editor feels that this paper will attract the attention of a broad audience and the media.
The health of the amazon ecosystem is a key indicator of the health of our planet. Hence, the...
Short summary
Despite little evidence of regional Amazon rainforest dieback, many localised abrupt dieback events are observed in the latest state-of-the-art global climate models under anthropogenic climate change. The detected dieback events would still cause severe consequences for local communities and ecosystems. This study suggests that 7 ± 5 % of the northern South America region would experience abrupt downward shifts in vegetation carbon for every degree of global warming past 1.5 °C.
Despite little evidence of regional Amazon rainforest dieback, many localised abrupt dieback...
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