Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-159-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-159-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Review
| 
25 Jan 2022
Review |
| 25 Jan 2022
| 25 Jan 2022
Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100
H. E. Markus Meier
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
Christian Dieterich
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
deceased, 7 July 2021
Matthias Gröger
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Cyril Dutheil
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Florian Börgel
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Kseniia Safonova
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Ole B. Christensen
Danish Climate Center, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen,
Denmark
Erik Kjellström
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
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Cited
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Coastal cliff erosion as a source of toxic, essential and nonessential metals in the marine environment M. Bełdowska et al. 10.1016/j.oceano.2022.04.001
- Dynamics of oxygen sources and sinks in the Baltic Sea under different nutrient inputs L. Naumov et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1233324
- Effects of geomorphological processes and phytoclimate conditions change on forest vegetation in the Pomeranian Bay coastal zone (Wolin National Park, West Pomerania) J. Tylkowski et al. 10.14746/quageo-2023-0010
- Salinity as a key control on the diazotrophic community composition in the southern Baltic Sea C. Reeder et al. 10.5194/os-18-401-2022
- Warming of Baltic Sea water masses since 1850 C. Dutheil et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06628-z
- Divergent desalination effects on alien and native gammarid functional responses R. Cuthbert & E. Briski 10.1007/s00227-023-04180-w
- Upwelling characteristics in the Gulf of Riga (Baltic Sea): multiple data source approach M. Skudra et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1244643
- Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea K. Kuliński et al. 10.5194/esd-13-633-2022
- Combined effect of salinity and temperature on copepod reproduction and oxidative stress in brackish-water environment E. von Weissenberg et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.952863
- Increasing Trends of Heat Waves and Tropical Nights in Coastal Regions (The Case Study of Lithuania Seaside Cities) I. Dailidienė et al. 10.3390/su151914281
- Satellite-Observed Spatial and Temporal Sea Surface Temperature Trends of the Baltic Sea between 1982 and 2021 S. Jamali et al. 10.3390/rs15010102
- Impacts and uncertainties of climate-induced changes in watershed inputs on estuarine hypoxia K. Hinson et al. 10.5194/bg-20-1937-2023
- Depletion of Oxygen in the Bothnian Sea Since the Mid-1950s I. Polyakov et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.917879
- Long-term changes in bloom dynamics of Southern and Central Baltic cold-water phytoplankton C. Paul et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1212412
- Overview: The Baltic Earth Assessment Reports (BEAR) H. Meier et al. 10.5194/esd-14-519-2023
- First Record of Acanthocyclops trajani (Copepoda, Cyclopidae) in the Vistula Lagoon of the Baltic Sea A. Semenova et al. 10.1134/S1995082923050127
- Genome architecture underlying salinity adaptation in the invasive copepod Eurytemora affinis species complex: A review C. Lee 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107851
- Coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modelling application for climate change impact assessment in the Nemunas river watershed–Curonian Lagoon–southeastern Baltic Sea continuum R. Idzelytė et al. 10.5194/os-19-1047-2023
- Atlantic multidecadal variability and the implications for North European precipitation F. Börgel et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5ca1
- Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning M. Viitasalo & E. Bonsdorff 10.5194/esd-13-711-2022
- The Baltic Sea Model Intercomparison Project (BMIP) – a platform for model development, evaluation, and uncertainty assessment M. Gröger et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8613-2022
- Coastal Adaptation to Climate Change and Sea Level Rise: Ecosystem Service Assessments in Spatial and Sectoral Planning G. Schernewski et al. 10.3390/app13042623
- Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region M. Reckermann et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1-2022
- Coupled regional Earth system modeling in the Baltic Sea region M. Gröger et al. 10.5194/esd-12-939-2021
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Coastal cliff erosion as a source of toxic, essential and nonessential metals in the marine environment M. Bełdowska et al. 10.1016/j.oceano.2022.04.001
- Dynamics of oxygen sources and sinks in the Baltic Sea under different nutrient inputs L. Naumov et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1233324
- Effects of geomorphological processes and phytoclimate conditions change on forest vegetation in the Pomeranian Bay coastal zone (Wolin National Park, West Pomerania) J. Tylkowski et al. 10.14746/quageo-2023-0010
- Salinity as a key control on the diazotrophic community composition in the southern Baltic Sea C. Reeder et al. 10.5194/os-18-401-2022
- Warming of Baltic Sea water masses since 1850 C. Dutheil et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06628-z
- Divergent desalination effects on alien and native gammarid functional responses R. Cuthbert & E. Briski 10.1007/s00227-023-04180-w
- Upwelling characteristics in the Gulf of Riga (Baltic Sea): multiple data source approach M. Skudra et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1244643
- Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea K. Kuliński et al. 10.5194/esd-13-633-2022
- Combined effect of salinity and temperature on copepod reproduction and oxidative stress in brackish-water environment E. von Weissenberg et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.952863
- Increasing Trends of Heat Waves and Tropical Nights in Coastal Regions (The Case Study of Lithuania Seaside Cities) I. Dailidienė et al. 10.3390/su151914281
- Satellite-Observed Spatial and Temporal Sea Surface Temperature Trends of the Baltic Sea between 1982 and 2021 S. Jamali et al. 10.3390/rs15010102
- Impacts and uncertainties of climate-induced changes in watershed inputs on estuarine hypoxia K. Hinson et al. 10.5194/bg-20-1937-2023
- Depletion of Oxygen in the Bothnian Sea Since the Mid-1950s I. Polyakov et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.917879
- Long-term changes in bloom dynamics of Southern and Central Baltic cold-water phytoplankton C. Paul et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1212412
- Overview: The Baltic Earth Assessment Reports (BEAR) H. Meier et al. 10.5194/esd-14-519-2023
- First Record of Acanthocyclops trajani (Copepoda, Cyclopidae) in the Vistula Lagoon of the Baltic Sea A. Semenova et al. 10.1134/S1995082923050127
- Genome architecture underlying salinity adaptation in the invasive copepod Eurytemora affinis species complex: A review C. Lee 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107851
- Coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modelling application for climate change impact assessment in the Nemunas river watershed–Curonian Lagoon–southeastern Baltic Sea continuum R. Idzelytė et al. 10.5194/os-19-1047-2023
- Atlantic multidecadal variability and the implications for North European precipitation F. Börgel et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5ca1
- Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning M. Viitasalo & E. Bonsdorff 10.5194/esd-13-711-2022
- The Baltic Sea Model Intercomparison Project (BMIP) – a platform for model development, evaluation, and uncertainty assessment M. Gröger et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8613-2022
- Coastal Adaptation to Climate Change and Sea Level Rise: Ecosystem Service Assessments in Spatial and Sectoral Planning G. Schernewski et al. 10.3390/app13042623
Latest update: 07 Dec 2023
Short summary
In addition to environmental pressures such as eutrophication, overfishing and contaminants, climate change is believed to have an important impact on the marine environment in the future, and marine management should consider the related risks. Hence, we have compared and assessed available scenario simulations for the Baltic Sea and found considerable uncertainties of the projections caused by the underlying assumptions and model biases, in particular for the water and biogeochemical cycles.
In addition to environmental pressures such as eutrophication, overfishing and contaminants,...
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