Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-159-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-159-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oceanographic regional climate projections for the Baltic Sea until 2100
H. E. Markus Meier
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
Christian Dieterich
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
deceased, 7 July 2021
Matthias Gröger
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Cyril Dutheil
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Florian Börgel
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Kseniia Safonova
Department of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany
Ole B. Christensen
Danish Climate Center, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen,
Denmark
Erik Kjellström
Research and Development Department, Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
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- Summer heatwaves on the Baltic Sea seabed contribute to oxygen deficiency in shallow areas K. Safonova et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01268-z
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- Diel-cycling hypoxia and hypercapnia interact with the physiological and redox response of the bivalve Mytilus edulis to heat-wave E. Dereuder et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107241
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- Aerobic metabolic scope mapping of an invasive fish species with global warming G. Quattrocchi et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coad094
- Physiological responses of Atlantic cod to climate change indicate that coastal ecotypes may be better adapted to tolerate ocean stressors D. Perry et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-62700-0
- Fatty acid profiles reveal dietary variability of a large calanoid copepod Limnocalanus macrurus in the northern Baltic Sea E. von Weissenberg et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1340349
- The heat is on: sensitivity of goldsinny wrasse to global climate change D. Perry et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coae068
- SurroFlow: A Flow-Based Surrogate Model for Parameter Space Exploration and Uncertainty Quantification J. Shen et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/TVCG.2024.3456372
- Recent stagnation period and unprecedented deoxygenation in the Baltic Sea: causes and consequences T. Liblik et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2025.1638978
- Projecting global marine eutrophication under climate change: An absolute environmental sustainability assessment approach A. Petiteau et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.181083
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 05 Jun 2026
Short summary
In addition to environmental pressures such as eutrophication, overfishing and contaminants, climate change is believed to have an important impact on the marine environment in the future, and marine management should consider the related risks. Hence, we have compared and assessed available scenario simulations for the Baltic Sea and found considerable uncertainties of the projections caused by the underlying assumptions and model biases, in particular for the water and biogeochemical cycles.
In addition to environmental pressures such as eutrophication, overfishing and contaminants,...
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