Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1451–1471, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1451–1471, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022
Research article
28 Oct 2022
Research article | 28 Oct 2022

Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables

Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez et al.

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Short summary
Subseasonal forecasts facilitate early warning of extreme events; however their predictability sources are not fully explored. We find that global temperature forecast errors in many regions are related to climate variables such as solar radiation and precipitation, as well as land surface variables such as soil moisture and evaporative fraction. A better representation of these variables in the forecasting and data assimilation systems can support the accuracy of temperature forecasts.
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