Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change
Louise J. Slater
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QY, UK
Chris Huntingford
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Richard F. Pywell
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
John W. Redhead
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Elizabeth J. Kendon
Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Bristol University, Faculty of Science, BS8 1UH, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 9,017 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 20 Dec 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,509 | 2,258 | 250 | 9,017 | 251 | 298 |
- HTML: 6,509
- PDF: 2,258
- XML: 250
- Total: 9,017
- BibTeX: 251
- EndNote: 298
Total article views: 7,074 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 29 Sep 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,502 | 1,356 | 216 | 7,074 | 228 | 271 |
- HTML: 5,502
- PDF: 1,356
- XML: 216
- Total: 7,074
- BibTeX: 228
- EndNote: 271
Total article views: 1,943 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 20 Dec 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,007 | 902 | 34 | 1,943 | 23 | 27 |
- HTML: 1,007
- PDF: 902
- XML: 34
- Total: 1,943
- BibTeX: 23
- EndNote: 27
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 9,017 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 8,724 with geography defined
and 293 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 7,074 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,887 with geography defined
and 187 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,943 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,837 with geography defined
and 106 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models L. Slater et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023
- Climate-Driven Spatial Variation in the Plant Height of Chinese Wheat and Its Targeted Breeding Practices H. Rongping et al. https://doi.org/10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2025.05.019
- Developing a Climate Impact Indicator Framework for the UK Agri‐Food Sector: A Literature Review and Stakeholder Co‐Production Approach J. Mollard et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.70068
- Impact of climate change on freshwater macronutrients and agricultural yields across Britain N. Missault et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128927
- Rainfed spring canola yield response to changing heat and water stress in the Canadian Prairie region Y. Gavasso-Rita et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2025.109966
- Projecting shifts in drought-induced thresholds for wheat yield loss under climate change in southeastern Australia K. Xiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111003
- Challenges and opportunities for understanding societal impacts of climate extremes G. Messori et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-199-2026
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of heat stress and cold stress on UK rapeseed cropping over 1961–2020 B. Hu et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-41957-7
- Adaptive Agronomic Strategies for Enhancing Cereal Yield Resilience Under Changing Climate in Poland E. Wójcik-Gront et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14112702
- Resilient food systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: climate change impacts, adaptation hurdles, and nature-based solutions K. Ngongolo et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2026.1857913
- Assessments of water deficit and heat stress for UK rapeseed cropping and their impacts on rapeseed yields B. Hu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2026.128180
- Future climate change increases the risk of wheat yield loss due to agricultural drought in southeastern Australia K. Xiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127909
- T&C-CROP: representing mechanistic crop growth with a terrestrial biosphere model (T&C, v1.5) – model formulation and validation J. Buckley Paules et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1287-2025
- Climate data integration into wheat performance evaluation reveals large inter-varietal responses J. Raymond et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2976-601X/ad90e4
- Balancing quality with quantity: A case study of UK bread wheat N. Fradgley et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp3.10462
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models L. Slater et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023
- Climate-Driven Spatial Variation in the Plant Height of Chinese Wheat and Its Targeted Breeding Practices H. Rongping et al. https://doi.org/10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2025.05.019
- Developing a Climate Impact Indicator Framework for the UK Agri‐Food Sector: A Literature Review and Stakeholder Co‐Production Approach J. Mollard et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.70068
- Impact of climate change on freshwater macronutrients and agricultural yields across Britain N. Missault et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.128927
- Rainfed spring canola yield response to changing heat and water stress in the Canadian Prairie region Y. Gavasso-Rita et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2025.109966
- Projecting shifts in drought-induced thresholds for wheat yield loss under climate change in southeastern Australia K. Xiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111003
- Challenges and opportunities for understanding societal impacts of climate extremes G. Messori et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-199-2026
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of heat stress and cold stress on UK rapeseed cropping over 1961–2020 B. Hu et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-41957-7
- Adaptive Agronomic Strategies for Enhancing Cereal Yield Resilience Under Changing Climate in Poland E. Wójcik-Gront et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14112702
- Resilient food systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: climate change impacts, adaptation hurdles, and nature-based solutions K. Ngongolo et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2026.1857913
- Assessments of water deficit and heat stress for UK rapeseed cropping and their impacts on rapeseed yields B. Hu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2026.128180
- Future climate change increases the risk of wheat yield loss due to agricultural drought in southeastern Australia K. Xiang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127909
- T&C-CROP: representing mechanistic crop growth with a terrestrial biosphere model (T&C, v1.5) – model formulation and validation J. Buckley Paules et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1287-2025
- Climate data integration into wheat performance evaluation reveals large inter-varietal responses J. Raymond et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2976-601X/ad90e4
- Balancing quality with quantity: A case study of UK bread wheat N. Fradgley et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp3.10462
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 03 Nov 2026
Short summary
This work considers how wheat yields are affected by weather conditions during the three main wheat growth stages in the UK. Impacts are strongest in years with compound weather extremes across multiple growth stages. Future climate projections are beneficial for wheat yields, on average, but indicate a high risk of unseen weather conditions which farmers may struggle to adapt to and mitigate against.
This work considers how wheat yields are affected by weather conditions during the three main...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint