Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 133–149, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-133-2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 133–149, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-133-2021

Research article 04 Feb 2021

Research article | 04 Feb 2021

A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean

Assaf Hochman et al.

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Latest update: 19 Apr 2021
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Short summary
Skillful forecasts of extreme weather events have a major socioeconomic relevance. Here, we compare two approaches to diagnose the predictability of eastern Mediterranean heat waves: one based on recent developments in dynamical systems theory and one leveraging numerical ensemble weather forecasts. We conclude that the former can be a useful and cost-efficient complement to conventional numerical forecasts for understanding the dynamics of eastern Mediterranean heat waves.
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