Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
09 Nov 2021
Research article |
| 09 Nov 2021
| 09 Nov 2021
Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation
Center, Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Martin Wild
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Doris Folini
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Stelios Kazadzis
Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos/World Radiation
Center, Davos Dorf, Switzerland
Jan Wohland
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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- Statistical analysis of electricity supply deficits from renewable energy sources across an Alpine transect B. François et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2022.10.125
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- A multi-model ensemble-based CMIP6 assessment of future solar radiation and PV potential under various climate warming scenarios S. Nwokolo et al. 10.1016/j.ijleo.2023.170956
- Climate-Proofing Critical Energy Infrastructure: Smart Grids, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning for Power System Resilience against Extreme Weather Events J. Nyangon 10.1061/JITSE4.ISENG-2375
- Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central U.S. A. Gurgel et al. 10.1007/s11027-024-10119-3
- Impact of the climate change on the site suitability for solar farms: Case study of Cameroon E. Wati & P. Meukam 10.1016/j.renene.2024.120310
- Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia’s future warmer climate S. Poddar et al. 10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039
- Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review L. Plaga & V. Bertsch 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120384
- Sensitivity of aerosol optical depth trends using long-term measurements of different sun photometers A. Karanikolas et al. 10.5194/amt-15-5667-2022
- Implications of a Paris-proof scenario for future supply of weather-dependent variable renewable energy in Europe J. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100134
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- A Review of Solar and Wind Energy Resource Projection Based on the Earth System Model G. Chen & Z. Ji 10.3390/su16083339
- Assessing the complementarity of future hybrid wind and solar photovoltaic energy resources for North America X. Costoya et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2022.113101
- Morocco’s path to a climate-resilient energy transition: identifying emission drivers, proposing solutions, and addressing barriers A. Bouramdane et al. 10.2516/stet/2024021
- Self-operation and low-carbon scheduling optimization of solar thermal power plants with thermal storage systems J. Sun 10.1186/s42162-024-00332-4
- EXAMINING EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION ON PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEMS VIA INTERPRETABLE RANDOM FOREST MODEL A. Dudáš et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121066
- Implications of Climate Change on Wind Energy Potential T. Kara & A. Şahin 10.3390/su152014822
- Climate change impact on photovoltaic power potential in China based on CMIP6 models J. Niu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159776
- Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions A. Isaza et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561
- Large-scale photovoltaic solar farms in the Sahara affect solar power generation potential globally J. Long et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01117-5
- Different photovoltaic power potential variations in East and West China X. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121846
- Evaluating the potential benefits of float solar photovoltaics through the water footprint recovery period S. Du et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141399
- The time-advance effect of China's rooftop solar photovoltaics program on the dual carbon targets and its implication on the globe H. Lu et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105593
- Energy production and water savings from floating solar photovoltaics on global reservoirs Y. Jin et al. 10.1038/s41893-023-01089-6
- Co-benefits of carbon neutrality in enhancing and stabilizing solar and wind energy Y. Lei et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01692-7
- Assessment of future solar energy potential changes under the shared socio-economic pathways scenario 2–4.5 with WRF-chem: The roles of meteorology and emission Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.120232
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Statistical analysis of electricity supply deficits from renewable energy sources across an Alpine transect B. François et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2022.10.125
- Evolution of the European offshore renewable energy resource under multiple climate change scenarios and forecasting horizons via CMIP6 E. Barkanov et al. 10.1016/j.enconman.2023.118058
- A multi-model ensemble-based CMIP6 assessment of future solar radiation and PV potential under various climate warming scenarios S. Nwokolo et al. 10.1016/j.ijleo.2023.170956
- Climate-Proofing Critical Energy Infrastructure: Smart Grids, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning for Power System Resilience against Extreme Weather Events J. Nyangon 10.1061/JITSE4.ISENG-2375
- Assessing compounding climate-related stresses and development pathways on the power sector in the central U.S. A. Gurgel et al. 10.1007/s11027-024-10119-3
- Impact of the climate change on the site suitability for solar farms: Case study of Cameroon E. Wati & P. Meukam 10.1016/j.renene.2024.120310
- Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia’s future warmer climate S. Poddar et al. 10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039
- Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review L. Plaga & V. Bertsch 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120384
- Sensitivity of aerosol optical depth trends using long-term measurements of different sun photometers A. Karanikolas et al. 10.5194/amt-15-5667-2022
- Implications of a Paris-proof scenario for future supply of weather-dependent variable renewable energy in Europe J. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100134
- Potential impacts of climate change on global solar radiation and PV output using the CMIP6 model in West Africa M. Agbor et al. 10.1016/j.clet.2023.100630
- A Review of Solar and Wind Energy Resource Projection Based on the Earth System Model G. Chen & Z. Ji 10.3390/su16083339
- Assessing the complementarity of future hybrid wind and solar photovoltaic energy resources for North America X. Costoya et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2022.113101
- Morocco’s path to a climate-resilient energy transition: identifying emission drivers, proposing solutions, and addressing barriers A. Bouramdane et al. 10.2516/stet/2024021
- Self-operation and low-carbon scheduling optimization of solar thermal power plants with thermal storage systems J. Sun 10.1186/s42162-024-00332-4
- EXAMINING EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION ON PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEMS VIA INTERPRETABLE RANDOM FOREST MODEL A. Dudáš et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121066
- Implications of Climate Change on Wind Energy Potential T. Kara & A. Şahin 10.3390/su152014822
- Climate change impact on photovoltaic power potential in China based on CMIP6 models J. Niu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159776
- Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions A. Isaza et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561
- Large-scale photovoltaic solar farms in the Sahara affect solar power generation potential globally J. Long et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01117-5
- Different photovoltaic power potential variations in East and West China X. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121846
- Evaluating the potential benefits of float solar photovoltaics through the water footprint recovery period S. Du et al. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141399
- The time-advance effect of China's rooftop solar photovoltaics program on the dual carbon targets and its implication on the globe H. Lu et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105593
- Energy production and water savings from floating solar photovoltaics on global reservoirs Y. Jin et al. 10.1038/s41893-023-01089-6
- Co-benefits of carbon neutrality in enhancing and stabilizing solar and wind energy Y. Lei et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01692-7
- Assessment of future solar energy potential changes under the shared socio-economic pathways scenario 2–4.5 with WRF-chem: The roles of meteorology and emission Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.120232
Latest update: 26 Jul 2024
Short summary
Solar photovoltaics (PV) matters for the carbon neutrality goal. We use climate scenarios to quantify climate risk for PV in Europe and find higher PV potential. The seasonal cycle of PV generation changes in most places. We find an increase in the spatial correlations of daily PV production, implying that PV power balancing through redistribution will be more difficult in the future. Thus, changes in the spatiotemporal structure of PV generation should be included in power system design.
Solar photovoltaics (PV) matters for the carbon neutrality goal. We use climate scenarios to...
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