Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6

Hou, Xinyuan; Wild, Martin; Folini, Doris; Kazadzis, Stelios; Wohland, Jan

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021

Articles | Volume 12, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1099-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 12, issue 4

Research article

|

09 Nov 2021

Research article |

| 09 Nov 2021

Climate change impacts on solar power generation and its spatial variability in Europe based on CMIP6

Xinyuan Hou, Martin Wild, Doris Folini, Stelios Kazadzis, and Jan Wohland

Data sets

ESGF Node at DOE/LLNL Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/

Short summary

Solar photovoltaics (PV) matters for the carbon neutrality goal. We use climate scenarios to quantify climate risk for PV in Europe and find higher PV potential. The seasonal cycle of PV generation changes in most places. We find an increase in the spatial correlations of daily PV production, implying that PV power balancing through redistribution will be more difficult in the future. Thus, changes in the spatiotemporal structure of PV generation should be included in power system design.