Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1033-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1033-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
Research article
 | 
19 Nov 2020
Research article |  | 19 Nov 2020

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data

Christopher H. O'Reilly, Daniel J. Befort, and Antje Weisheimer

Viewed

Total article views: 3,808 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
2,530 1,176 102 3,808 845 101 93
  • HTML: 2,530
  • PDF: 1,176
  • XML: 102
  • Total: 3,808
  • Supplement: 845
  • BibTeX: 101
  • EndNote: 93
Views and downloads (calculated since 12 Mar 2020)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 12 Mar 2020)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 3,808 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 3,445 with geography defined and 363 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Download
Short summary
This study examines how the output of large single-model ensembles can be calibrated using observational data to provide improved future projections over Europe. Using an out-of-sample imperfect model test, in which calibration techniques are applied to individual climate model realisations, these techniques are shown to generally improve the reliability of European climate projections for the next 40 years, particularly for regional surface temperature.
Read more
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint