Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-817-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-817-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Research article
 | 
13 Jun 2018
Research article |  | 13 Jun 2018

Climate, ocean circulation, and sea level changes under stabilization and overshoot pathways to 1.5 K warming

Jaime B. Palter, Thomas L. Frölicher, David Paynter, and Jasmin G. John

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Short summary
Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C may require carbon removal from the atmosphere. We explore how the climate system differs when we achieve the 1.5 °C limit by rapid emissions reductions versus when we overshoot this limit, hitting 2 °C at mid-century before removing CO2 from the atmosphere. We show that sea level, ocean acidification, regional warming, and ocean circulation are very different under the overshoot pathway at 2100, despite hitting the 1.5 °C target for surface warming.
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The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C
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