Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-543-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-543-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Research article
 | 
18 May 2018
Research article |  | 18 May 2018

Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0 °C

Yi Chen, Zhao Zhang, and Fulu Tao

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Short summary
We evaluated the effects of warming scenarios (1.5 and 2.0˚C) on the production of maize, wheat and rice in China using MCWLA models and four global climate models. Results showed that the warming scenarios would bring more opportunities than risks for food security in China. A 2.0˚C warming would lead to larger variability of crop yield but less probability of crop yield decrease than 1.5˚C warming. More attention should be paid to adaptations to the expected increase in extreme event impacts.
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The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C
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