Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
16 Apr 2018
Research article |
| 16 Apr 2018
| 16 Apr 2018
Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Clio Michel
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Lise Seland Graff
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Ingo Bethke
Uni Climate, Uni Research, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Giuseppe Zappa
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Thomas J. Bracegirdle
British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, UK
Erich Fischer
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Ben J. Harvey
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Trond Iversen
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Martin P. King
Uni Climate, Uni Research, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Harinarayan Krishnan
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA
Ludwig Lierhammer
German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ), Hamburg, Germany
Daniel Mitchell
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
John Scinocca
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and
Climate Change Canada, Victoria, Canada
Hideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Dáithí A. Stone
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA
Global Climate Adaptation Partnership, Oxford, UK
Justin J. Wettstein
College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, USA
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
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Cited
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Development of Future Heatwaves for Different Hazard Thresholds M. Vogel et al. 10.1029/2019JD032070
- Arctic amplification under global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C in NorESM1-Happi L. Graff et al. 10.5194/esd-10-569-2019
- Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe M. Huguenin et al. 10.1029/2019GL086132
- The Southern Hemisphere Midlatitude Circulation Response to Rapid Adjustments and Sea Surface Temperature Driven Feedbacks T. Wood et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1015.1
- Respiratory and Photosynthetic Responses of Antarctic Vascular Plants Are Differentially Affected by CO2 Enrichment and Nocturnal Warming C. Sanhueza et al. 10.3390/plants11111520
- Biophysical models reveal the role of tides, wind, and larval behaviour in early transport and retention of Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) in the Celtic Sea I. Deschepper et al. 10.1139/cjfas-2018-0491
- Investigating monthly geopotential height changes and mid-latitude Northern Hemisphere westerlies H. Asakereh et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-04879-w
- Impact of climate change on European winter and summer flood losses M. Sassi et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.05.014
- How could a difference of 0.5°C in global warming modify the mean and extreme climate conditions around Antarctica? R. Saurral et al. 10.1002/joc.6566
- The Response of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams to Climate Change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Climate Models B. Harvey et al. 10.1029/2020JD032701
- Role of climate model dynamics in estimated climate responses to anthropogenic aerosols K. Nordling et al. 10.5194/acp-19-9969-2019
- Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018 R. Vautard et al. 10.5194/esd-10-271-2019
- Changes in extreme temperature over China when global warming stabilized at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C C. Sun et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-50036-z
- Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View G. Zappa 10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7
- Dipole response of early‐summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming Y. Lei et al. 10.1002/joc.7879
- Variations in Monthly Maximum Gust Speed at St Mary's, Isles of Scilly (UK) M. Masina et al. 10.1029/2022EA002380
- Larger Spatial Footprint of Wintertime Total Precipitation Extremes in a Warmer Climate E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2020GL091990
- On the potential impact of a half-degree warming on cold and warm temperature extremes in mid-latitude North America M. Barcikowska et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4dea
- Projected changes in early summer ridging and drought over the Central Plains B. Cook et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e1a
- Dynamical drivers of Greenland blocking in climate models C. Michel et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1131-2021
- The Change in the ENSO Teleconnection under a Low Global Warming Scenario and the Uncertainty due to Internal Variability C. Michel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0730.1
- Linking midlatitudes eddy heat flux trends and polar amplification R. Chemke & L. Polvani 10.1038/s41612-020-0111-7
- The record-breaking compound hot and dry 2018 growing season in Germany J. Zscheischler & E. Fischer 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100270
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Development of Future Heatwaves for Different Hazard Thresholds M. Vogel et al. 10.1029/2019JD032070
- Arctic amplification under global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C in NorESM1-Happi L. Graff et al. 10.5194/esd-10-569-2019
- Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe M. Huguenin et al. 10.1029/2019GL086132
- The Southern Hemisphere Midlatitude Circulation Response to Rapid Adjustments and Sea Surface Temperature Driven Feedbacks T. Wood et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1015.1
- Respiratory and Photosynthetic Responses of Antarctic Vascular Plants Are Differentially Affected by CO2 Enrichment and Nocturnal Warming C. Sanhueza et al. 10.3390/plants11111520
- Biophysical models reveal the role of tides, wind, and larval behaviour in early transport and retention of Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) in the Celtic Sea I. Deschepper et al. 10.1139/cjfas-2018-0491
- Investigating monthly geopotential height changes and mid-latitude Northern Hemisphere westerlies H. Asakereh et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-04879-w
- Impact of climate change on European winter and summer flood losses M. Sassi et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.05.014
- How could a difference of 0.5°C in global warming modify the mean and extreme climate conditions around Antarctica? R. Saurral et al. 10.1002/joc.6566
- The Response of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams to Climate Change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Climate Models B. Harvey et al. 10.1029/2020JD032701
- Role of climate model dynamics in estimated climate responses to anthropogenic aerosols K. Nordling et al. 10.5194/acp-19-9969-2019
- Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018 R. Vautard et al. 10.5194/esd-10-271-2019
- Changes in extreme temperature over China when global warming stabilized at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C C. Sun et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-50036-z
- Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View G. Zappa 10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7
- Dipole response of early‐summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming Y. Lei et al. 10.1002/joc.7879
- Variations in Monthly Maximum Gust Speed at St Mary's, Isles of Scilly (UK) M. Masina et al. 10.1029/2022EA002380
- Larger Spatial Footprint of Wintertime Total Precipitation Extremes in a Warmer Climate E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2020GL091990
- On the potential impact of a half-degree warming on cold and warm temperature extremes in mid-latitude North America M. Barcikowska et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4dea
- Projected changes in early summer ridging and drought over the Central Plains B. Cook et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e1a
- Dynamical drivers of Greenland blocking in climate models C. Michel et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1131-2021
- The Change in the ENSO Teleconnection under a Low Global Warming Scenario and the Uncertainty due to Internal Variability C. Michel et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0730.1
- Linking midlatitudes eddy heat flux trends and polar amplification R. Chemke & L. Polvani 10.1038/s41612-020-0111-7
- The record-breaking compound hot and dry 2018 growing season in Germany J. Zscheischler & E. Fischer 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100270
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 Apr 2024
Short summary
This study investigates the midlatitude atmospheric circulation response to 1.5°C and 2.0°C of warming using modelling experiments run for the HAPPI project (Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis & Projected Impacts). While the chaotic nature of the atmospheric flow dominates in these low-end warming scenarios, some local changes emerge. Case studies explore precipitation impacts both for regions that dry (Mediterranean) and regions that get wetter (Europe, North American west coast).
This study investigates the midlatitude atmospheric circulation response to 1.5°C and 2.0°C of...
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