Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-227-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-227-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Mar 2018
Research article |
| 13 Mar 2018
| 13 Mar 2018
Regional scaling of annual mean precipitation and water availability with global temperature change
Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Lukas Gudmundsson
Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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58 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Observational Constraints Reduce Likelihood of Extreme Changes in Multidecadal Land Water Availability R. Padrón et al. 10.1029/2018GL080521
- CHANGE OF THE HORYN RIVER BASIN WATER BALANCE UNDER THE WARMER CLIMATE Y. Chornomorets & O. Lobodzinskyi 10.17721/2306-5680.2023.4.2
- The influence of the Western Mediterranean Oscillation upon the spatio-temporal variability of precipitation over Catalonia (northeastern of the Iberian Peninsula) J. Lopez-Bustins & M. Lemus-Canovas 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104819
- Monitoring Soil Moisture Drought over Northern High Latitudes from Space J. Blyverket et al. 10.3390/rs11101200
- A novel method for assessing climate change impacts in ecotron experiments I. Vanderkelen et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01951-8
- Water balance components and climate extremes over Brazil under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C of global warming scenarios P. da Silva Tavares et al. 10.1007/s10113-023-02042-1
- Varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks explain divergent temperature extremes and precipitation projections in central Europe M. Vogel et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018
- Factors controlling the oxygen isotopic composition of lacustrine authigenic carbonates in Western China: implications for paleoclimate reconstructions H. Li et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-73422-4
- Water availability may not constrain vegetation growth in Northern Hemisphere C. Lai et al. 10.1016/j.agwat.2023.108649
- Future changes in land and atmospheric variables: An analysis of their couplings in the Iberian Peninsula M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137902
- Regional Response of Land Hydrology and Carbon Uptake to Different Amounts of Solar Radiation Modification M. Zhao & L. Cao 10.1029/2022EF003288
- Global Runoff Signatures Changes and Their Response to Atmospheric Environment, GRACE Water Storage, and Dams S. Yan et al. 10.3390/rs13204084
- Intra-annual variability of the Western Mediterranean Oscillation (WeMO) and occurrence of extreme torrential precipitation in Catalonia (NE Iberia) J. Lopez-Bustins et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-2483-2020
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- Low flow sensitivity to water withdrawals in Central and Southwestern Europe under 2 K global warming P. Greve et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acec60
- Hydroclimate changes over Sweden in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries: a millennium perspective D. Chen et al. 10.1080/04353676.2020.1841410
- Survival of the Qaidam mega-lake system under mid-Pliocene climates and its restoration under future climates D. Scherer 10.5194/hess-24-3835-2020
- Global changes in floods and their drivers J. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128553
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- Downscaling satellite soil moisture using geomorphometry and machine learning M. Guevara et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0219639
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- Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change L. Gudmundsson et al. 10.1126/science.aba3996
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- A framework to quantify impacts of elevated CO2 concentration, global warming and leaf area changes on seasonal variations of water resources on a river basin scale W. Qi et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.01.015
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- Sustainable food systems and nutrition in the 21st century: a report from the 22nd annual Harvard Nutrition Obesity Symposium J. Fanzo et al. 10.1093/ajcn/nqab315
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- Peak Runoff Timing Is Linked to Global Warming Trajectories D. Xu et al. 10.1029/2021EF002083
- Global change differentially modulates Caribbean coral physiology C. Bove et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0273897
- Changing patterns of soil water content and relationship with national wheat and maize production in Europe Z. Pinke et al. 10.1016/j.eja.2022.126579
- Extending MESMER-X: a spatially resolved Earth system model emulator for fire weather and soil moisture Y. Quilcaille et al. 10.5194/esd-14-1333-2023
- Distinct Influences of Land Cover and Land Management on Seasonal Climate D. Singh et al. 10.1029/2018JD028874
- Global water availability under high-end climate change: A vulnerability based assessment A. Koutroulis et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.01.013
- Climate change, drought, land degradation and migration: exploring the linkages K. Hermans & R. McLeman 10.1016/j.cosust.2021.04.013
- Mass 47 clumped isotope signatures in modern lacustrine authigenic carbonates in Western China and other regions and implications for paleotemperature and paleoelevation reconstructions H. Li et al. 10.1016/j.epsl.2021.116840
- Compounding precipitation effect in modulating maize yield response to global warming Y. Ban et al. 10.1002/joc.7652
- Examining the Water Scarcity Vulnerability in US River Basins Due To Changing Climate F. Wolkeba et al. 10.1029/2023GL106004
Latest update: 19 Apr 2024
Short summary
Assessing projected hydroclimatological changes is crucial, but associated with large uncertainties. We statistically assess here the response of precipitation and water availability to global temperature change, enabling us to estimate the significance of drying/wetting tendencies under anthropogenic climate change. We further show that opting for a 1.5 K warming target just slightly influences the mean response but could substantially reduce the risk of experiencing extreme changes.
Assessing projected hydroclimatological changes is crucial, but associated with large...
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