Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-227-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-227-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
Research article
 | 
13 Mar 2018
Research article |  | 13 Mar 2018

Regional scaling of annual mean precipitation and water availability with global temperature change

Peter Greve, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia I. Seneviratne

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Short summary
Assessing projected hydroclimatological changes is crucial, but associated with large uncertainties. We statistically assess here the response of precipitation and water availability to global temperature change, enabling us to estimate the significance of drying/wetting tendencies under anthropogenic climate change. We further show that opting for a 1.5 K warming target just slightly influences the mean response but could substantially reduce the risk of experiencing extreme changes.
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