Articles | Volume 9, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018
ESD Ideas
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12 Nov 2018
ESD Ideas | Highlight paper |  | 12 Nov 2018

ESD Ideas: The stochastic climate model shows that underestimated Holocene trends and variability represent two sides of the same coin

Gerrit Lohmann

Data sets

A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution G. Lohmann, M. Pfeiffer, T. Laepple, G. Leduc, and J.-H. Kim https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1807-2013

Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345

Ocean Surface Temperature Variability: Large Model-data Differences at Decadal and Longer Periods T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1412077111

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Short summary
Long-term sea surface temperature trends and variability are underestimated in models compared to paleoclimate data. The idea is presented that the trends and variability are related, which is elaborated in a conceptual model framework. The temperature spectrum can be used to estimate the timescale-dependent climate sensitivity.
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