Articles | Volume 8, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Short communication
| 
14 Jul 2017
Short communication |
| 14 Jul 2017
Flexible parameter-sparse global temperature time profiles that stabilise at 1.5 and 2.0 °C
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Hui Yang
Department of Ecology, School of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, P.R. China
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
Anna Harper
College of Engineering and Environmental Science, Laver Building, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK
Peter M. Cox
College of Engineering and Environmental Science, Laver Building, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK
Nicola Gedney
Met Office Hadley Centre, Joint Centre for Hydrometeorological Research, Maclean Building, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Eleanor J. Burke
Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Jason A. Lowe
Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Garry Hayman
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
William J. Collins
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, P.O. Box 243, Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Stephen M. Smith
Committee on Climate Change, 7 Holbein Place, London, SW1W 8NR, UK
Edward Comyn-Platt
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK
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Total article views: 3,287 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 2,303 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,225 with geography defined
and 78 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 984 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target W. Collins et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c
- Population exposure to droughts in China under the 1.5 °C global warming target J. Chen et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1097-2018
- The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures J. Kikstra et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
- Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model N. Wunderling et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9
- Vegetation distribution and terrestrial carbon cycle in a carbon cycle configuration of JULES4.6 with new plant functional types A. Harper et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-2857-2018
- Beyond RCP8.5: Marginal mitigation using quasi-representative concentration pathways J. Miller & W. Brock 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.06.007
- Climate pattern-scaling set for an ensemble of 22 GCMs – adding uncertainty to the IMOGEN version 2.0 impact system P. Zelazowski et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-541-2018
- A new precipitation emulator (PREMU v1.0) for lower-complexity models G. Liu et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1277-2023
- Overshooting tipping point thresholds in a changing climate P. Ritchie et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03263-2
- Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks E. Comyn-Platt et al. 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9
- Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems P. Ritchie et al. 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023
- Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options G. Hayman et al. 10.5194/esd-12-513-2021
- Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets A. Harper et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target W. Collins et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c
- Population exposure to droughts in China under the 1.5 °C global warming target J. Chen et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1097-2018
- The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures J. Kikstra et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
- Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model N. Wunderling et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9
- Vegetation distribution and terrestrial carbon cycle in a carbon cycle configuration of JULES4.6 with new plant functional types A. Harper et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-2857-2018
- Beyond RCP8.5: Marginal mitigation using quasi-representative concentration pathways J. Miller & W. Brock 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.06.007
- Climate pattern-scaling set for an ensemble of 22 GCMs – adding uncertainty to the IMOGEN version 2.0 impact system P. Zelazowski et al. 10.5194/gmd-11-541-2018
- A new precipitation emulator (PREMU v1.0) for lower-complexity models G. Liu et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-1277-2023
- Overshooting tipping point thresholds in a changing climate P. Ritchie et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03263-2
- Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks E. Comyn-Platt et al. 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9
- Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems P. Ritchie et al. 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023
- Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options G. Hayman et al. 10.5194/esd-12-513-2021
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 19 Apr 2024
Short summary
Recent UNFCCC climate meetings have placed much emphasis on constraining global warming to remain below 2 °C. The 2015 Paris meeting went further and gave an aspiration to fulfil a 1.5 °C threshold. We provide a flexible set of algebraic global temperature profiles that stabilise to either target. This will potentially allow the climate research community to estimate local climatic implications for these temperature profiles, along with emissions trajectories to fulfil them.
Recent UNFCCC climate meetings have placed much emphasis on constraining global warming to...
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