Articles | Volume 8, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 495–505, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-495-2017
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 495–505, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-495-2017

Research article 05 Jul 2017

Research article | 05 Jul 2017

Non-linear intensification of Sahel rainfall as a possible dynamic response to future warming

Jacob Schewe and Anders Levermann

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (31 Mar 2017) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
AR by Jacob Schewe on behalf of the Authors (04 Apr 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (05 Apr 2017) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
RR by Marco Gaetani (16 May 2017)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (30 May 2017) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
AR by Jacob Schewe on behalf of the Authors (01 Jun 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (13 Jun 2017) by Rui A. P. Perdigão
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Short summary
Monsoon systems have undergone abrupt changes in past climates, and theoretical considerations show that threshold behavior can follow from the internal dynamics of monsoons. So far, however, the possibility of abrupt changes has not been explored for modern monsoon systems. We analyze state-of-the-art climate model simulations and show that some models project abrupt changes in Sahel rainfall in response to a dynamic shift in the West African monsoon under 21st century climate change.
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