Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 55–65, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-55-2014

Special issue: Predictions under change: water, earth, and biota in the anthropocene...

Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 55–65, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-55-2014

Research article 31 Jan 2014

Research article | 31 Jan 2014

Modelling multiple threats to water security in the Peruvian Amazon using the WaterWorld policy support system

A. J. J. van Soesbergen and M. Mulligan A. J. J. van Soesbergen and M. Mulligan
  • Earth and Environmental Dynamics Research Group, Department of Geography, King's College London, Strand, London, WC2R 2LS, UK

Abstract. This paper describes the application of WaterWorld (www.policysupport.org/waterworld) to the Peruvian Amazon, an area that is increasingly under pressure from deforestation and water pollution as a result of population growth, rural-to-urban migration and oil and gas extraction, potentially impacting both water quantity and water quality. By applying single and combined plausible scenarios of climate change, deforestation around existing and planned roads, population growth and rural–urban migration, mining and oil and gas exploitation, we explore the potential combined impacts of these multiple changes on water resources in the Peruvian Amazon.

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